Prediction for match Sassuolo — Parma, 03.01.2026

Match Analysis: Sassuolo vs Parma

On January 3rd, Sassuolo will face Parma in a Serie A clash. The odds for Sassuolo's victory stand at 1.99, a draw at 3.50, and a win for Parma at 4.39. In terms of outcome probabilities: Sassuolo - 49.46%, draw - 28.12%, Parma - 22.42%. Bookmakers see a Sassuolo victory as the most likely result, though the gap between the teams isn't huge. Over/Under options: Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.16, Under 2.5 at 1.81, both teams to score: yes - 1.86, no - 1.86. This indicates moderate expectations for goal-scoring and no clear bias towards either side.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sassuolo averages 42.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Parma's stats are slightly lower: 41.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Sassuolo's last three matches: December 28 - Bologna 1-1 Sassuolo, December 21 - Sassuolo 0-1 Torino, December 14 - Milan 2-2 Sassuolo. Parma's recent games: December 27 - Parma 1-0 Fiorentina, December 13 - Parma 0-1 Lazio, December 8 - Pisa 0-1 Parma. Their head-to-head on August 2, 2023, ended with Parma winning 1-0. These stats suggest both teams don't dominate possession and play cautiously with cards and fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of average scoring over five matches, Sassuolo records 2.6 goals per game, Parma - 1.6. Sassuolo scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4, Parma scores 0.6 and concedes 1. Regarding Over 2.5 goals: Sassuolo has 2 out of 5 over, Parma only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Over 1.5 was hit by Sassuolo 2 times out of 5, by Parma once. In the second half, Sassuolo also hit Over 1.5 two times out of 5, Parma none. Goal intervals: Sassuolo frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (38%) and concedes early (0-15 - 40%) and between 61-75 (40%). Parma's goals often fall in three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 (33% each), with goals conceded also early (0-15 - 40%). Overall, Sassuolo appears more prolific, while Parma is a defensive team with a cautious approach. Given that Over 2.0 is at 1.54 and Over 2.25 at 1.81, betting on Over 2.25 seems logical: Sassuolo has a higher average scoring rate, and while Parma can concede, they aren't known for strong attacking prowess.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Sassuolo averages 3.8 corners per match, Parma 3. For Over 9.5 corners: Sassuolo has 1 out of 5 over, Parma 3 out of 5. Considering total corners, for 8.5 there are both outcomes: Over 8.5 is at 1.58, Under 8.5 at 2.17. For corners outcome, Sassuolo is favored with odds of 1.62. Given the teams' average stats and frequency of overs, betting on Over 8.5 corners seems justified, especially considering both teams don't show extreme wing play but can increase intensity if needed. Also, backing Sassuolo to win the corner count is worth considering, given their advantage in average deliveries.