Prediction for match Braga — Estoril

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga on May 3, Braga will face Estoril. According to 1X2 odds, Braga's win is priced at 1.78, a draw at 4.04, and Estoril's victory at 4.53. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 54.54% for Braga's success, 24.03% for a draw, and 21.43% for Estoril's win. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.68, while under 2.5 is at 2.30. Both teams to score: yes is priced at 1.59, no at 2.21. Double chance odds are 1.23 for 1X, 2.11 for X2, and 1.27 for 12. For individual totals: Braga over 1.5 goals is at 1.67, Estoril over 1.5 goals is at 2.95.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Braga has an average possession of 61.4%, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides per game. Estoril, over the same period, holds 55% possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 15.6 fouls, and also records 1.4 offsides. Braga's last three matches: April 30, 2026 - Braga 2-1 Freiburg, April 26, 2026 - Santa Clara 2-1 Braga, April 23, 2026 - Casa Pia 0-1 Braga. Estoril's last three games: April 26, 2026 - Estoril 0-1 Famalicão, April 20, 2026 - Moreirense 1-0 Estoril, April 12, 2026 - Estoril 1-3 Porto. In their last head-to-head on December 19, 2025, Estoril defeated Braga 1-0.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Braga vs Estoril Match

In the last five matches, Braga's over 2.5 goals occurred 4 times, while Estoril's occurred 3 times. Braga averages 3.4 goals per game, and Estoril 2.8. Braga scores an average of 2 goals and concedes 1.4, while Estoril scores 0.8 and concedes 2. In terms of halves, Braga had over 1.5 goals in the first half in three of the last five games and over 1.5 in the second half in three of five. Estoril had over 1.5 goals in each half in two of the last five. Braga most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute (33%) and 76-90 minute (33%) intervals, while Estoril scores in the first 15 minutes (33%). Defensively, Braga concedes most often in the 31-45 minute interval (33%), while Estoril concedes 25% of goals in each of the 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minute intervals. Given Braga's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goals, and Estoril's less reliable defense, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Braga averages 3 corners over five matches, while Estoril averages 4.4. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Braga had no occurrences in five games, Estoril had two in five. The market for corner totals offers a line at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.95, under 9.5 at 1.74. Braga is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.36. Considering the average combined corners of both teams (7.4), a bet on under 9.5 corners seems logical, but Estoril's tendency for higher values in some matches means not ruling out the possibility of 10 or more corners.