Prediction for match Paderborn 07 — Darmstadt

Match Analysis: Paderborn 07 vs Darmstadt

The 2. Bundesliga continues with a match between Paderborn 07 and Darmstadt on December 19. According to the main odds, a win for Paderborn 07 is priced at 2.17, a draw at 3.48, and a victory for Darmstadt at 3.13. The probabilities for a win are distributed as follows: Paderborn 07 - 43.16%, draw - 26.91%, Darmstadt - 29.92%. This suggests a slight edge for Paderborn 07, although Darmstadt is also seen as a competitive opponent. The match promises to be interesting in terms of the battle for points, given the close odds for both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Paderborn 07 has shown mixed results: on December 13, they defeated Karlsruhe 4-0, lost to Elversberg 1-2 on December 6, were beaten by Schalke 04 with a score of 1-2 on November 28, lost to Hannover 0-2 on November 22, and beat Magdeburg 1-0 on November 9. Darmstadt, in their last five matches, defeated Preußen Münster 1-0 (December 14), won against Karlsruhe 3-2 (December 6), lost to Freiburg 0-2 (December 3), drew with Elversberg 0-0 (November 30), and thrashed Greuther Fürth 4-2 (November 22). Over the five-match period, Paderborn 07 maintains an average possession of 56%, with 2.8 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Darmstadt shows 50% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on January 26, 2025, Darmstadt lost to Paderborn 07 with a score of 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams are in an over-profile regarding goal activity. Over the five-match series, Paderborn 07 has an average total of 2.6 goals, while Darmstadt averages 2.8. Paderborn 07 scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 1.2, while Darmstadt scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Paderborn 07 has seen this in 3 out of 5 matches, Darmstadt in 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, Darmstadt played over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, Paderborn 07 in 2 out of 5. In terms of goal timing, Paderborn 07 frequently scores in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while Darmstadt scores most often in the 46-60 and 61-75 minute intervals (27% each). In terms of goals conceded, Paderborn 07 is notable in the 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (30% each), while Darmstadt is in the 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (50% each). Considering all these data and the fact that both teams regularly score and concede, betting on both teams to score: yes at 1.54 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Paderborn 07 averages 5.6 corners per game, Darmstadt 6.8. For over 9.5 corners: Paderborn 07 has seen this 2 times out of 5, Darmstadt 4 out of 5. If considering total corners, the sum of the average values for both teams is 12.4. The line offers a couple of totals over/under 9.5: over 9.5 at 1.49, under 9.5 at 2.41. This is close to the actual performance of the teams, so betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical. A win on corners isn't highlighted by the odds, but both teams tend to play actively on the flanks, increasing the likelihood of a high number of corner kicks.