Prediction for match Shenyang Urban — Chengdu Rongcheng

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

On May 5, 2026, the Chinese Super League will host a match between Shenyang Urban and Chengdu Rongcheng. According to the 1X2 odds, Chengdu Rongcheng is the favorite with odds of 1.64 for a win, a draw is at 4.04, and a win for Shenyang Urban is at 5.30. In terms of probabilities, Shenyang Urban has an 18.04% chance of winning, a draw is at 23.66%, and Chengdu Rongcheng has a 58.30% chance of success. This reflects the difference in current form and results of the teams, as confirmed by recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

Shenyang Urban shows 60% ball possession in their last five matches, averaging 2 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Chengdu Rongcheng slightly lags in possession at 53.6%, but maintains a similar level with 2.4 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Shenyang Urban lost to Henan Jianye 0-4 (01.05.2026), Sichuan Jiuniu 0-1 (26.04.2026), and Dalian Yifang 0-1 (22.04.2026). Chengdu Rongcheng, on the other hand, defeated Shanghai Shenhua 3-2 (01.05.2026), thrashed Zhejiang Professional 4-0 (25.04.2026), and won against Yunnan Yukun 2-1 (21.04.2026). The last head-to-head encounter was on August 6, 2021, ending in a 2-0 victory for Chengdu Rongcheng.

How Many Goals Can We Expect?

In their last five matches, Shenyang Urban has an average of 2.4 goals per match, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2 goals per game. Chengdu Rongcheng has a higher average total of 3.2, scoring 2.4 and conceding only 0.8. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for Shenyang Urban, and 4 out of 5 for Chengdu Rongcheng. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened 2 times out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, it was 1 out of 5 for Shenyang Urban and 3 out of 5 for Chengdu Rongcheng. Regarding goal intervals, Shenyang Urban scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (44%) and concedes in the final minutes (76-90 minute, 100%). Chengdu Rongcheng is most productive between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%) and also concedes mostly in the final minutes (76-90 minute, 57%). Given Chengdu Rongcheng's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goals, and Shenyang Urban's weak defense, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.85 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Shenyang Urban averages 5.2 corners per match, while Chengdu Rongcheng averages 4.8. Over their last five matches, a total of over 9.5 corners did not occur for Shenyang Urban, but happened 2 out of 5 times for Chengdu Rongcheng. The closest line to the average corner total is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.73, under 9.5 is at 1.98. Chengdu Rongcheng is the favorite on corner outcomes with odds of 1.29. Considering the average activity of both teams on corner kicks and the infrequent occurrence of high totals, a bet on a corner total closer to 9.5 seems justified, but a high number of corners should not be expected.