Prediction for match Shimizu S-pulse — Fagiano Okayama

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On December 6, Shimizu S-pulse will face Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League. The odds for Shimizu S-pulse to win are 2.30, for Fagiano Okayama to win - 3.12, and for a draw - 3.43. The probability percentages for the 1X2 outcomes are: Shimizu S-pulse - 41.53%, draw - 27.85%, Fagiano Okayama - 30.62%. Shimizu S-pulse is seen as the favorite, but the probability gap is not significant, indicating a potential battle across the pitch.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Shimizu S-pulse averages 58.2% possession, commits 9 fouls, receives 0.8 yellow cards, and records 1.6 offsides per game. Fagiano Okayama falls behind in these metrics: 37.2% possession, 11.4 fouls, 0.8 yellow cards, and 2.2 offsides. In Shimizu S-pulse's last three matches: November 30 - Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Shimizu S-pulse, November 9 - Shimizu S-pulse 1-4 Cerezo Osaka, October 25 - Shimizu S-pulse 1-0 Tokyo Verdy. For Fagiano Okayama: November 30 - Fagiano Okayama 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds, November 8 - Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Fagiano Okayama, October 25 - FC Tokyo 3-1 Fagiano Okayama. Their last head-to-head was on March 2: Fagiano Okayama 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse.

Goals According to Match Statistics

In a five-match series, Shimizu S-pulse has an average total of 3.4 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Fagiano Okayama's average total is 2.4, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: both teams have 2 out of 5 matches over, 3 out of 5 under. In terms of halves, Shimizu S-pulse has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, Fagiano Okayama 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have 2 out of 5 over 1.5. Shimizu S-pulse most frequently scores between 0-15 and 31-45 minutes (33% each), and concedes most often late (76-90, 33%). Fagiano Okayama scores 50% of their goals between 76-90 minutes, and concedes half between 61-75 minutes. Overall, Shimizu S-pulse tends to play in high-scoring matches, while Fagiano Okayama is more restrained but lacks defensive reliability. A bet on over 2.25 goals at 1.67 seems logical, considering the average totals and goal distribution by halves.

Corner Totals Analysis

Shimizu S-pulse averages 5 corners in their last five games, Fagiano Okayama 4.6. For over 9.5 corners, Shimizu S-pulse has 2 out of 5, Fagiano Okayama 3 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to their average sum (9.6) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners - 1.82, under 9.5 - 1.86. For corner outcomes, Shimizu S-pulse is favored with odds of 1.76. Considering both teams' stats, a bet on over 9.5 corners appears justified, as both teams regularly earn 4-5 corners per match, with the line being surpassed in at least 2-3 out of 5 cases.