Prediction for match Southampton — Middlesbrough

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the English Championship on 12.05.2026, Southampton will face Middlesbrough. The odds for a Southampton win are 2.43, for a Middlesbrough victory 2.99, and a draw is priced at 3.54. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Southampton - 40.01%, draw - 27.47%, Middlesbrough - 32.52%. These numbers suggest Southampton has a slight edge, but Middlesbrough is also rated quite highly. According to the bookmakers' odds, the match appears unpredictable, with no clear favorite. Both teams have a chance to win, and the probability of a draw is also significant.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Southampton's results were: 09.05.2026 - Middlesbrough vs Southampton - 0-0, 02.05.2026 - Preston North End vs Southampton - 1-3, 28.04.2026 - Southampton vs Ipswich Town - 2-2. Middlesbrough's last three results were: 09.05.2026 - Middlesbrough vs Southampton - 0-0, 02.05.2026 - Wrexham vs Middlesbrough - 2-2, 25.04.2026 - Middlesbrough vs Watford - 5-1. On average over five games, Southampton has 45% ball possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 3.2 offsides per match. Middlesbrough averages 56.2% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 09.05.2026, the teams drew 0-0.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Southampton vs Middlesbrough

In the last five matches, Southampton hit over 2.5 goals four times and under once. Middlesbrough saw over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Both teams average 3 goals per game. Southampton scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 1.4, while Middlesbrough scores 2 and concedes 1. In terms of halves, Southampton had over 1.5 goals in the first half once, and in the second half four out of five times. Middlesbrough had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times, and in the second half twice. Southampton most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (43%) and concedes in the same interval (38%). Middlesbrough's goal distribution is more even: 20% in each of the four quarters of the first half and 20% at the end. Both teams tend to have high-scoring matches, especially in the second halves. Considering this data, betting on over 2.25 goals at 1.58 seems justified: both teams regularly play in high-scoring games, and the average goal statistics support this choice.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average over five matches, Southampton wins 4 corners, Middlesbrough 6.4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is 4 out of 5 for Southampton and 2 out of 5 for Middlesbrough. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average sum (10.4) is 10.5. The odds for over 10.5 corners are 2.07, and for under 1.85. Southampton is favored to win the corner count at 1.92. Given both teams' average activity, betting on over 10.5 corners is logical, as both teams often win corners and have high average figures. Also, note that Southampton consistently wins more corners than their opponents, as reflected in the odds.