Prediction for match Sparta Rotterdam — NEC Nijmegen

Match Analysis: Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen

In the Dutch Eredivisie on 15.02.2026, Sparta Rotterdam will face NEC Nijmegen. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Sparta Rotterdam win is at 2.72, a draw is priced at 3.64, and NEC Nijmegen win is at 2.50. The probabilities for the outcomes are: 35.27% for a Sparta Rotterdam victory, 26.36% for a draw, and 38.37% for a NEC Nijmegen victory. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.62, while under 2.5 is at 2.36. The "Both Teams to Score: Yes" is at 1.47, "No" is at 2.50. For individual team totals: Sparta Rotterdam over 1.5 goals is at 2.08, NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals is at 1.99. Double chance options: 1X is at 1.54, X2 is at 1.47, 12 is at 1.29.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sparta Rotterdam shows an average possession of 50.4%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 10.8 fouls, and records 0.4 offsides per game. NEC Nijmegen in the same period averages 58.2% possession, receives 1.2 yellows, commits 8.2 fouls, and records 0.8 offsides. Sparta Rotterdam's last three matches: 07.02.2026 - Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam - 2-2, 31.01.2026 - Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen - 2-0, 25.01.2026 - Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam - 0-1. NEC Nijmegen's last three encounters: 11.02.2026 - NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht - 1-3, 07.02.2026 - NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles - 4-1, 04.02.2026 - NEC Nijmegen vs Volendam - 1-0. In their last head-to-head on 29.11.2025, NEC Nijmegen defeated Sparta Rotterdam 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have shown high scoring potential: Sparta Rotterdam averages a total of 3.4 goals per match, and NEC Nijmegen also averages 3.4. Sparta Rotterdam scores an average of 2 goals and concedes 1.4, while NEC Nijmegen scores 2.2 and concedes 1.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of Sparta Rotterdam's last 5, and in 4 of NEC Nijmegen's last 5. By halves, Sparta Rotterdam has 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, and 3 out of 5 in the second. NEC Nijmegen has 4 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second. As for goal intervals, Sparta Rotterdam most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), while NEC Nijmegen scores most between 31-45 minutes (33%). In terms of conceding, Sparta Rotterdam often concedes late (76-90, 33%), and NEC Nijmegen early (0-15, 50%). All this suggests a high probability of a high-scoring match, where both teams are likely to score and the total goals may exceed 2.5. The over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.62, supported by the attacking stats of both sides and frequent occurrences of this total in recent matches.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In terms of corners, Sparta Rotterdam averages 4.8 in their last five matches, while NEC Nijmegen averages 5.2. In the last five meetings, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for Sparta Rotterdam and 2 times for NEC Nijmegen. If we take the nearest sum of averages, the odds for total corners over 9.5 are 1.52, while under 9.5 is at 2.27. NEC Nijmegen is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.92. Based on the teams' average activity in corner kicks, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems reasonable. Additionally, both teams consistently achieve 4-5 corners per match, which supports the choice for the over in corners.