Prediction for match Sporting CP — Casa Pia

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the Primeira Liga on January 16, Sporting CP will face Casa Pia. Sporting CP is heavily favored with odds of 1.14, reflecting an 84.83% chance of winning. The draw is priced at 9.15, with a 10.57% probability, while Casa Pia's chances are rated at 21.00, with a 4.60% probability. The significant difference in odds and percentages highlights the gap in class and current form between the teams. The goal total markets also lean towards a high-scoring match: Over 2.5 goals is at 1.44, and Over 2.75 is at 1.54, indicating high expectations for goals in this encounter.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sporting CP averages 61.4% possession, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 14.6 fouls, and records 0.4 offsides per game. Casa Pia, in the same period, holds 47% possession, gets 3 yellow cards, commits 18.6 fouls, and records 0.8 offsides. Recent matches for Sporting CP: January 2, 2026, Gil Vicente 1-1 Sporting CP, December 28, 2025, Sporting CP 4-0 Rio Ave, December 23, 2025, Vitoria Guimaraes 1-4 Sporting CP. Casa Pia's recent games: January 4, 2026, Rio Ave 3-1 Casa Pia, December 28, 2025, Casa Pia 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes, December 21, 2025, Tondela 1-2 Casa Pia. Their last head-to-head was on August 8, 2025: Casa Pia 0-2 Sporting CP.

Goals Statistics

Sporting CP scores an average of 3.6 goals and concedes 0.8 in their last five matches, with an overall average total of 4.4. Casa Pia scores 0.8 and concedes 1.2, with an average total of 2. Sporting CP has exceeded the 2.5 total in 4 out of 5 games, while Casa Pia has done so in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Sporting CP went over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, while Casa Pia stayed under in all 5. In the second half, Sporting CP went over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5, and Casa Pia in 2 out of 5. Sporting CP most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (36%), while Casa Pia does so in the same period (50%). Sporting CP concedes most between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%), and Casa Pia between the 61st and 75th minutes (50%). Given Sporting CP's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 totals, and Casa Pia's lower scoring ability, a bet on Over 2.75 goals at 1.54 seems justified: Sporting CP is capable of ensuring the necessary goals, and Casa Pia might contribute with at least one.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Sporting CP averages 6.8 corners per game, while Casa Pia averages 3.6, totaling 10.4. In the last 5 matches, Sporting CP went over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5, and Casa Pia in 3 out of 5. For a total of 9.5, both options are available: over 9.5 is priced at 1.84, and under 9.5 is also at 1.84. Sporting CP is favored for corners with odds of 1.02. It is logical to expect at least 10 corners in this match as both teams regularly win corners, with Sporting CP being particularly active in attack. Consider betting on over 9.5 corners, as well as on Sporting CP to win the corners count.