Prediction for match Sporting CP — Nacional

Match Analysis: Sporting CP vs Nacional

In the Primeira Liga on February 1st, Sporting CP will face Nacional. The odds heavily favor Sporting CP: a win for them is priced at 1.11, a draw at 11.80, and a Nacional victory at 23.00. The probability percentages for 1X2 are as follows: 87.54% for a Sporting CP win, 8.23% for a draw, and 4.22% for a Nacional win. These odds highlight the class difference between the teams, and Sporting CP is expected to dominate the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sporting CP has maintained 56% possession, received an average of 3 yellow cards per game, committed 11.2 fouls, and recorded 1.4 offsides. Nacional has 49% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Sporting CP won their last three games against Athletic Bilbao 3-2 (28.01.2026), Arouca 2-1 (24.01.2026), and PSG 2-1 (20.01.2026). In their last three matches, Nacional thrashed Rio Ave 4-0 (25.01.2026), lost to Gil Vicente 1-2 (17.01.2026), and drew 3-3 with Santa Clara (11.01.2026). In their last head-to-head on August 23, 2025, Nacional lost to Sporting CP 1-4.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown high scoring potential in their last five matches. Sporting CP had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Nacional had it in all 5. The average goals per match for Sporting CP is 3.2, and for Nacional, it's 4, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. Sporting CP scores an average of 2.2 goals per game and concedes 1, while Nacional also scores 2.2 but concedes 1.8. For halves, Sporting CP had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, and in the second half 3 times out of 5. Nacional had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times, and in the second half 4 times out of 5. Sporting CP most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%), while Nacional scores most between the 31st and 45th minutes (31%). Sporting CP concedes most in the 76th to 90th minute (43%), and Nacional between the 0-15 and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Given the high scoring nature of both teams and frequent over 2.5 goals, betting on over 3.5 goals seems justified. The odds for over 3.5 goals are 2.01.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In their last five matches, Sporting CP averaged 5.4 corners, and Nacional 3.4, totaling 8.8 per game. Sporting CP had over 9.5 corners in all 5 matches, while Nacional had it in 4 out of 5. There are two betting options for the 9.5 corners total: over 9.5 at 1.63, under 9.5 at 2.11. Sporting CP is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.04. Considering both teams' average activity and frequent over 9.5 corners, betting on over 9.5 corners is logical. It's also worth noting that Nacional has fewer set pieces, which may influence the corner distribution in favor of Sporting CP.