Prediction for match Sporting CP — PSG, 20.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Champions League on January 20, Sporting CP will face PSG. According to the 1X2 odds, PSG is the favorite with odds of 1.84, a draw is at 4.12, and a victory for Sporting CP is priced at 4.37. The probability percentages are as follows: PSG 53.54%, draw 23.91%, Sporting CP 22.54%. These figures indicate the bookmakers' confidence in the French team's advantage, but the Portuguese side is not entirely out of the running.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sporting CP had an average ball possession of 60.2%, 2.6 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. PSG averaged 63.6% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three matches, Sporting CP played as follows: January 16 - Sporting CP vs Casa Pia - 3-0, January 2 - Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP - 1-1, December 28 - Sporting CP vs Rio Ave - 4-0. PSG's last three matches: January 16 - PSG vs Lille - 3-0, January 12 - PSG vs Paris FC - 0-1, January 8 - PSG vs Marseille - 6-3. There are no recent head-to-head results between these teams.

Goal Totals Statistics

In terms of goal totals over 5 matches, Sporting CP had 4 out of 5 games over 2.5 goals, while PSG had 3 out of 5. On average, Sporting CP scores 3 goals and concedes 0.8 per match, while PSG scores 1.6 and concedes 1. The overall average goal total is 3.8 for the Portuguese and 2.6 for the French. By halves, Sporting CP had 3 out of 5 over 1.5 goals in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second half. PSG had none over 1.5 in the first half, but 3 out of 5 in the second half. Sporting CP most frequently scores between the 31st-45th, 46th-60th, and 76th-90th minutes (27% each), and concedes most between the 31st and 45th minute (43%). PSG's goals are distributed 25% in the intervals 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90, and they concede most often between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each). Given Sporting CP's high scoring rate and regular over totals for both teams, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.66 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Sporting CP averages 6 corners per match, while PSG averages 6.4. In the last 5 games, Sporting CP had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches, and PSG in 2 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (12.4) is 9.5, but the odds only offer over 9.5 and under 9.5. In this match, you can expect at least 10 corners, considering both teams' activity in this aspect. For corner bets, it makes sense to consider over 9.5, as both teams consistently deliver 6 or more per game, with over 9.5 occurring in 3 and 2 out of 5 cases, respectively.