Prediction for match Sporting Gijon — Real Sociedad II

Match Analysis: Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II

On April 6, in the Spanish Segunda Division, Sporting Gijon will face Real Sociedad II. According to the odds, Sporting Gijon is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.77, a draw at 3.88, and a win for Real Sociedad II at 4.57. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 54.24% for a Sporting Gijon win, 24.75% for a draw, and 21.01% for a Real Sociedad II win. This suggests that bookmakers expect an advantage for Sporting Gijon, but Real Sociedad II shouldn't be underestimated—they have the potential to surprise.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Sporting Gijon lost to Racing Santander 1-3 on April 1, drew 1-1 with Deportivo La Coruna on March 28, and lost 0-1 to Las Palmas on March 22. Real Sociedad II lost 0-1 to Eibar on April 2, were defeated 1-5 by Almeria on March 29, and lost 0-2 to Granada on March 22. In their last head-to-head on December 6, 2025, Sporting Gijon narrowly defeated Real Sociedad II with a 1-0 scoreline. Over the last five matches, Sporting Gijon has an average possession of 41%, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per game. Real Sociedad II has 43.4% possession, 4.2 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. These figures indicate a more aggressive style of play from Real Sociedad II with more fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games in their last five matches. Sporting Gijon averages 2.6 goals per match, while Real Sociedad II averages 3.4. Both teams have hit over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, with under 2.5 goals occurring three times. Sporting Gijon exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half once in five matches, whereas Real Sociedad II did so four times, indicating their high activity at the start of games. In the second half, both teams exceeded 1.5 goals twice in five matches. For goal intervals, 50% of Sporting Gijon's goals come between 76-90 minutes, while Real Sociedad II scores 30% of their goals in the 0-15 and 61-75 minute ranges. Defensively, Sporting Gijon concedes most often in the 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while Real Sociedad II concedes 63% of their goals in the first 15 minutes. Average goals scored: Sporting Gijon - 1.2, Real Sociedad II - 1.4. They concede 1.4 and 2 goals per game, respectively. These stats suggest a high-scoring match, making a bet on over 2.25 goals at 1.50 a logical choice.

Corners in the Match

Sporting Gijon averages 4.6 corners per game, while Real Sociedad II averages 5. In terms of exceeding 9.5 corners, Sporting Gijon has done so in 3 out of 5 matches, and Real Sociedad II in 4 out of 5. The line closest to the combined average (9.6) is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.01, and for under 1.70. Sporting Gijon is the favorite in the corners market with odds of 1.40. Overall, both teams frequently win corners, especially Real Sociedad II, making a bet on over 9.5 corners a reasonable consideration. Notably, Real Sociedad II has exceeded 9.5 corners in four of their last five matches, highlighting their wing play activity.