Prediction for match Sporting Gijon — Valencia

Match Preview

In the Copa del Rey on December 16, Sporting Gijon will face Valencia. The odds for a Sporting Gijon victory are 2.45, for a Valencia win - 2.62, and a draw is at 3.00. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 36.34% for a Sporting Gijon win, 33.98% for Valencia, and 29.68% for a draw. The balance of power according to the odds and percentages is quite close, making this match intriguing to analyze as neither side is a clear favorite.

Team Stats and Scores

In their last five matches, Sporting Gijon has an average possession of 52.6%, with 3.2 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Valencia, during the same period, shows 53.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Recent results for Sporting Gijon: 13.12.2025 - Sporting Gijon 1-0 Granada, 06.12.2025 - Real Sociedad II 0-1 Sporting Gijon, 28.11.2025 - Sporting Gijon 1-1 FC Andorra. Valencia's recent games: 13.12.2025 - Atletico Madrid 2-1 Valencia, 07.12.2025 - Valencia 1-1 Sevilla, 04.12.2025 - Cartagena 1-2 Valencia. The last head-to-head meeting was on 18.01.2023: Sporting Gijon 0-4 Valencia.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Sporting Gijon has not seen a total over 2.5 goals, with all 5 games under 2.5. Valencia had two matches over 2.5 goals and three under. The average goal count in Sporting Gijon's matches is 1.6, while Valencia's is 2.2. Goals scored per game: Sporting Gijon - 0.8, Valencia - 1.2. Sporting Gijon's defense concedes 0.8, Valencia - 1. The first half for both teams tends to be low-scoring: 0 out of 5 over 1.5 goals. In the second half, Sporting Gijon exceeded 1.5 goals once, Valencia twice. Goal intervals: Sporting Gijon most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (80%), conceding evenly across three intervals (0-15, 46-60, 76-90 - 33% each). Valencia scores most often between 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), conceding mainly between 61-75 minutes (50%). This suggests a rather restrained nature of the matches, especially from Sporting Gijon. With consistent unders and low scoring from both teams, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.57 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Sporting Gijon averages 7 corners over 5 matches, while Valencia averages 5.8. Frequency of over 9.5 corners: Sporting Gijon 4 out of 5 times, Valencia 3 out of 5. Odds for total corners are available for 9.5: over 9.5 is at 2.00, under 9.5 at 1.75. In recent matches, both teams regularly achieve high total corner counts, evidenced by over 9.5 corners occurring in 7 out of 10 combined matches. Based on this data, considering a bet on over 9.5 corners is logical. Additionally, Sporting Gijon leads Valencia in average corners, which might influence the corner distribution in this match.