Prediction for match St. Mirren — Kilmarnock, 27.12.2025

Match Analysis: St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock

In the Scottish Premiership on December 27, St. Mirren will face Kilmarnock. According to the 1X2 odds, St. Mirren is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.78, a draw at 3.50, and a success for Kilmarnock at 4.57. The probabilities are distributed as follows: St. Mirren - 52.69%, draw - 26.79%, Kilmarnock - 20.52%. This setup is related to the current form and performance of the teams in recent matches, as well as the difference in goals scored and conceded statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

St. Mirren, over a five-match series, shows 48.25% ball possession, commits an average of 13.25 fouls, receives 1.25 yellow cards, and records 1 offside per game. Kilmarnock, over the same period, holds the ball 41.4% of the time, commits 13.8 fouls, receives 2.8 warnings, and is caught offside 2 times per match. In their last three encounters, St. Mirren played as follows: 20.12.2025 - St. Mirren - Livingston - 1-0, 14.12.2025 - St. Mirren - Celtic - 3-1, 06.12.2025 - St. Mirren - Dundee United - 2-0. Kilmarnock's last three matches were: 20.12.2025 - Kilmarnock - Falkirk - 0-1, 14.12.2025 - Aberdeen - Kilmarnock - 2-1, 06.12.2025 - Kilmarnock - Rangers - 0-3. The last head-to-head meeting was on 04.10.2025: Kilmarnock - St. Mirren - 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

St. Mirren stands out in terms of average scoring: over 5 matches, the team has 3.25 goals per game, with 1.75 scored by the club itself and 1.5 conceded. For Kilmarnock, these figures are more modest - 2.2 goals per match, 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded. In a series of five matches, St. Mirren broke the total over 2.5 three times, while Kilmarnock did it twice. By halves, St. Mirren recorded more than 1.5 goals twice in the first half and twice in the second, while Kilmarnock did it once in the first and three times in the second. In terms of goal intervals, St. Mirren most often scores between the 61st and 75th minute (42%), while Kilmarnock scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each). St. Mirren most frequently concedes between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each), while Kilmarnock is most vulnerable between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (25% each). Considering St. Mirren's stable attack and Kilmarnock's low scoring rate (0.6 per match), a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.85 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

St. Mirren averages 6.75 corners per match, while Kilmarnock averages 3. In a five-match series, St. Mirren exceeded a total of 9.5 corners four times, while Kilmarnock did it twice. The nearest total with available odds is 9.5: over 9.5 corners - 1.49, under 9.5 - 2.34. On the outcome of corners, St. Mirren is the favorite with odds of 1.58. Based on the data, it is logical to expect St. Mirren to attack more and deliver more corners, with the overall total possibly around 9-10. Given the average activity of both teams, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified.