Prediction for match St. Truiden — Mechelen

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

The Jupiler Pro League continues its season, and on December 21, St. Truiden will face Mechelen. The odds for a St. Truiden win are set at 1.70, a draw is at 3.98, and a Mechelen victory is at 4.82. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: St. Truiden - 56.19%, draw - 24.00%, Mechelen - 19.82%. The odds and percentages indicate that St. Truiden has the highest chances of success in this pairing. The difference between the teams in the assessments is quite noticeable, and the bookmakers clearly highlight St. Truiden as the favorite for this encounter. The main bets on outcomes and total goals also demonstrate confidence in St. Truiden's performance and advantage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, St. Truiden has an average possession of 50.8%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per game. Mechelen's averages are 47.6% possession, 3 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. St. Truiden's last three games: 13.12.2025 Anderlecht - St. Truiden 2-1, 06.12.2025 St. Truiden - Club Brugge 3-2, 30.11.2025 Gent - St. Truiden 1-2. Mechelen's recent three matches: 13.12.2025 Cercle Brugge - Mechelen 2-3, 07.12.2025 Mechelen - Charleroi 1-0, 28.11.2025 Mechelen - Standard Liège 0-1. In their last head-to-head on 04.10.2025, Mechelen lost to St. Truiden with a score of 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, St. Truiden has seen over 2.5 goals four times and under once, while Mechelen has only seen over 2.5 goals once and under four times. In the first half, St. Truiden went over 1.5 goals twice and under three times, while Mechelen only went over 1.5 goals once. In the second half, St. Truiden went over 1.5 goals three times, Mechelen twice. The average number of goals per game for St. Truiden is 3, and for Mechelen, it's 2. St. Truiden scores 1.8 and concedes 1.2, while Mechelen scores 1.2 and concedes 0.8. St. Truiden most frequently scores between the 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minute intervals (25% each), while Mechelen scores most often in the final 76-90 minutes (50%). In terms of goals conceded, St. Truiden's notable periods are 16-30, 46-60, and 61-75 (29% each), while Mechelen's is 31-45 (50%). In this situation, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.66 seems justified: St. Truiden consistently participates in high-scoring matches, and Mechelen can contribute to the goal-scoring dynamic, especially in the second half.

Analysis of Total Corners

Over the last 5 matches, St. Truiden averages 5.2 corners, and Mechelen averages 5.4. For the total over 9.5 corners, St. Truiden has seen 4 out of 5 matches, and Mechelen 3 out of 5. Among the available totals, the closest to the average sum (10.6) is 10.5, for which there are both betting options: total corners over 10.5 - 1.97, under 10.5 - 1.78. In the outcomes for corners, St. Truiden is favored with odds of 1.44. Based on the averages and the frequency of high totals, it makes sense to consider the option of total corners over 10.5, as both teams regularly deliver 5 or more corners, and in most of the recent matches, a high total was achieved.