Prediction for match St. Truiden — OH Leuven

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In the Jupiler Pro League on January 18, St. Truiden will face OH Leuven. The odds for the match outcome are as follows: a win for St. Truiden is priced at 1.80, a draw at 3.72, and a win for OH Leuven at 4.46. The probabilities are distributed as follows: St. Truiden - 52.98%, draw - 25.64%, OH Leuven - 21.38%. St. Truiden stands out as the favorite by all main indicators, as confirmed by both the odds and probabilities. The most likely outcome is considered to be a win for St. Truiden, but the possibility of a draw should not be overlooked, as it is also rated quite high.

Team Statistics and Scores

In their last three matches, St. Truiden recorded the following results: 26.12.2025 - Standard Liège 1-2 St. Truiden, 21.12.2025 - St. Truiden 1-0 Mechelen, 13.12.2025 - Anderlecht 2-1 St. Truiden. OH Leuven played as follows in the same period: 27.12.2025 - RAAL La Louvière 0-0 OH Leuven, 21.12.2025 - OH Leuven 0-2 Cercle Brugge, 12.12.2025 - Standard Liège 0-1 OH Leuven. On average, St. Truiden has 51% ball possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per match. OH Leuven has 47.6% possession, 3 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last encounter on 23.11.2025, OH Leuven lost to St. Truiden 1-2. These figures show that St. Truiden plays a bit more carefully and controls the ball more often, while OH Leuven commits more fouls and receives more cautions.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, St. Truiden has an average total of 3 goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. OH Leuven has an average total of 1.6 goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1. For over 2.5 goals, St. Truiden has seen 4 of their last 5 matches end with high scores, while OH Leuven has only 1 out of 5. By halves, St. Truiden has 2 out of 5 games with two or more goals in the first half, and 3 out of 5 in the second. OH Leuven has 2 out of 5 in both halves for over 1.5 goals. St. Truiden most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (38%) and concedes between 61-75 minutes (43%). OH Leuven's goals are spread across three intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while their conceded goals are evenly distributed across five intervals, 20% each. Considering St. Truiden's high scoring and OH Leuven's low scoring, as well as St. Truiden's frequent over 2.5 goal games, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.82 seems logical. Although OH Leuven has shown an under-profile in recent matches, St. Truiden is capable of providing the necessary level of scoring.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Both teams average 4.6 corners per match in a five-match series. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is 2 out of 5 for St. Truiden and 3 out of 5 for OH Leuven. For a total of 9.5, there are both betting options: over 9.5 is offered at 1.67, under 9.5 at 2.05. In the corner outcome, St. Truiden is favored with odds of 1.39. Based on the average corner performance and the frequency of over 9.5 totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering that both teams regularly take at least 4-5 corners per match. Additionally, one might consider betting on St. Truiden to win the corner count for a lower odds option.