Prediction for match Brest — Toulouse

Match Analysis: Brest vs Toulouse

In Ligue 1 on January 25, Brest will face Toulouse. The odds for the outcomes are quite balanced: Brest's win is at 2.96, a draw at 3.04, and a win for Toulouse at 2.88. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Brest - 33.32%, draw - 32.44%, Toulouse - 34.24%. Among the goal totals, the closest option over 2.0 is at 1.58, while over 2.5 is at 2.23. The odds for both teams to score: yes is at 1.80, no is at 1.92. These odds and percentages indicate that bookmakers do not see a clear favorite and expect a fairly high-scoring game, with a slight edge in probability towards Toulouse.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Brest has shown 42.2% possession, averages 2.2 yellow cards per game, commits 15.4 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides. Toulouse has slightly higher possession at 42.8%, with 2 yellow cards, the same number of fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In Brest's last three matches: 18.01.2026 Lyon - Brest 2-1, 04.01.2026 Brest - Auxerre 2-0, 19.12.2025 Avranches - Brest 6-5. For Toulouse: 17.01.2026 Toulouse - Nice 5-1, 10.01.2026 Angers - Toulouse 6-7, 02.01.2026 Toulouse - Lens 0-3. In their last head-to-head on 24.08.2025, Toulouse defeated Brest 2-0. These data show that both teams are evenly matched in secondary stats and often play high-scoring football.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Brest has an average total of 2.4 goals, while Toulouse has 3.4. Brest scores and concedes 1.2 goals per game, Toulouse scores 2.2 and concedes 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Brest has 2 out of 5, Toulouse has 4 out of 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were recorded for Brest 3 times, for Toulouse 2 times. In the second half, Brest had no instances of over 1.5, while Toulouse had 4 out of 5. For goal intervals: Brest most often scores between 16-30 minutes (44%), and concedes evenly in three intervals - 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 (33% each). Toulouse most frequently scores in the second half: 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (29% each), and concedes between 46-60 minutes (45%). These figures suggest that Toulouse plays more high-scoring football, while Brest tends towards moderate totals. Considering Toulouse's high-scoring nature and Brest's not-so-reliable defense, it makes sense to consider over 2.0 at 1.58 as the main prediction.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

Brest averages 4.2 corners in five matches, Toulouse - 5.4. For over 9.5 corners: both teams have 3 out of 5. Among the odds for corner totals, there is a pair for 9 - over 9 is at 1.83, under 9 at 1.91. For the outcome on corners, Brest is the favorite with odds of 1.92. These figures show that both teams are capable of actively earning corners, and a bet on over 9 corners looks justified. It is also worth considering individual corner totals for each team, given their average figures in recent matches.