Prediction for match Sturm Graz — Brann, 29.01.2026

Match Analysis: Sturm Graz vs Brann

In the Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Brann, the bookmakers slightly favor Brann: their win is priced at 2.59, while a victory for Sturm Graz is at 2.87, and a draw stands at 3.56. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Sturm Graz - 34.31%, draw - 27.66%, Brann - 38.02%. These figures show a moderate edge for Brann, though the difference is not overwhelming. The markets for total goals are quite varied, but the attacking profiles of both teams make the goals market intriguing.

Team Results and Statistics

The recent form of the teams shows some differences in secondary metrics. Over the last five matches, Sturm Graz averages 50.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Brann, on the other hand, averages 53.4% possession, 0.4 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Sturm Graz lost 0-3 to Feyenoord, 1-3 to Austria Vienna, and 0-1 to Red Star Belgrade. Brann drew 3-3 with Midtjylland, lost 0-4 to Fenerbahçe, and won 3-1 against HamKam. These results indicate that both teams are capable of scoring and conceding, and are not shy of a physical battle on the pitch. In their last five matches, Sturm Graz averages 1.8 yellow cards, while Brann averages 0.4, which could influence their style of play. Sturm Graz commits 13.8 fouls per match compared to Brann's 9.4. Offsides are more frequent for Brann at 2.4 against Sturm Graz's 1.8. Brann's slightly superior possession could help them control the tempo of the game.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The scoring tendencies of both teams in recent matches suggest a clear inclination towards high-scoring games. In their last five games, Sturm Graz had over 2.5 goals in 4 matches, and Brann had the same in 4 out of 5. The average total goals for Sturm Graz is 3, while for Brann it's 4. Sturm Graz scores 0.8 and concedes 2.2, while Brann scores 1.4 and concedes 2.6. In terms of halves, Sturm Graz had over 1.5 goals in the second half in 3 out of 5 matches, and Brann also had 3 out of 5. Sturm Graz most frequently scores in the intervals of 0-15, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (22% each). Brann scores most often in the 61-75 interval (36%). Sturm Graz concedes most in the 46-60 and 61-75 intervals (33% each), while Brann concedes most in the 0-15 and 31-45 intervals (30% each). The attacking profiles of both teams, supported by over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches for each, along with high average goals, make the over 2.5 goals bet at 1.76 justified. Both teams to score is priced at 1.53, supported by statistics: Brann scores 1.4, Sturm Graz 0.8, with both sides regularly conceding. However, the over 2.5 goals bet appears slightly more reliable based on the collective arguments.

Corner Totals Analysis

On corners, Sturm Graz averages 6 per match, and Brann 6.4. In their last five matches, Sturm Graz had over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches, and Brann in 4 out of 5. The line offers over 9.5 corners at 1.76 and under 9.5 at 1.95. Brann is favored to win the corner count at 2.00. Combined, the average corner figures for both teams are close to 12.4, supporting the over 9.5 corners bet. Brann has shown flank activity in recent matches, leading to numerous set pieces. Sturm Graz is also active in this area. Based on these data, the over 9.5 corners bet seems justified, with a slight edge for Brann in the corner outcome.