Tips for match Sturm Graz — Nottingham Forest, 06.11.2025

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the UEFA Europa League on November 6, Sturm Graz will face Nottingham Forest. The odds for the match are as follows: a win for Sturm Graz is at 4.75, a draw is at 3.80, and a victory for Nottingham Forest is at 1.70. The English club is the favorite according to the odds, which is further confirmed by the percentages: Forest - 55.39%, draw - 24.78%, Sturm - 19.83%. This indicates a significant advantage for the visitors, although the probability of a draw is not more than a quarter. The match promises to be intense, considering the difference in chances and the motivation of the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sturm Graz has an average ball possession of 52.4%, yellow cards - 2.2, fouls - 12.6, offsides - 2.6. Nottingham Forest's stats are: possession - 47.4%, cards - 2, fouls - 12.6, offsides - 1.2. Sturm's last three matches were: a 1-2 loss to Rapid Vienna on November 2, a 1-3 defeat to Wolfsberger on October 26, and a 1-2 loss to Celtic on October 23. Forest's last three matches were: a 2-2 draw with Manchester United on November 1, a 0-2 loss to Bournemouth on October 26, and a 2-0 win over Porto on October 23. These teams have not faced each other before, so we are only analyzing their recent form.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last 5 matches, Sturm Graz had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Forest had it in 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 for Sturm and 1 out of 5 for Forest. In the second half, Sturm had 4 out of 5 for over 1.5, and Forest had 3 out of 5. On average, Sturm scores 3.8 goals per game, with 1.8 scored and 2 conceded, while Forest averages 2.6 goals, with 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. Sturm most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (63%), and Forest between the 46th and 60th minute (38%). Sturm concedes most often early (0-15, 27%) and late (76-90, 27%), while Forest concedes in two intervals: 46-60 and 76-90 (both 40%). Based on this data, it's logical to consider a bet on under 2.5 goals, given Forest's low scoring rate and the fact that the visitors average less than one goal per game, while the hosts might play defensively against a strong opponent. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 2.10, making this option attractive.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Sturm Graz has an average of 5.4 per match, and Nottingham Forest has 4.2. In their last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 4 times for Sturm and 3 times for Forest. The odds are: over 9.5 corners - 1.83, under 9.5 - 1.83. Forest is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.73. Based on this data, a bet on over 9.5 corners can be considered, given the regular occurrence of this outcome for both teams in their last five matches. It's also worth noting that Sturm's corner stats are higher, which could impact the total.