Prediction for match Swansea — Stoke City

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the English Championship on March 7th, Swansea City will face Stoke City. The 1X2 odds are distributed as follows: a Swansea City win is priced at 2.06, a draw at 3.28, and a Stoke City win at 3.60. In terms of probability, Swansea City has a 45.45% chance, a draw is at 28.54%, and Stoke City at 26.01%. The goal total line highlights Over 2.5 at 2.10 and Under 2.5 at 1.71, indicating a slight lean towards moderate scoring. Both teams to score is evenly priced at 1.85 for both options. For individual team totals: Swansea City Over 1.5 is at 2.21, and Stoke City Over 1 is at 2.19. The double chance odds are 1X at 1.26, X2 at 1.72, and 12 at 1.31. For second-half goal totals: Over 1.5 is at 2.27, Under 1.5 is at 1.59.

Team's Recent Match Performances

In their last three matches, Swansea City played as follows: February 28, 2026 - Ipswich Town vs. Swansea City - 3-0, February 24, 2026 - Swansea City vs. Preston North End - 1-1, February 21, 2026 - Swansea City vs. Bristol City - 1-0. During the same period, Stoke City had these results: February 28, 2026 - Coventry vs. Stoke City - 2-1, February 25, 2026 - Stoke City vs. Oxford United - 2-1, February 21, 2026 - Stoke City vs. Leicester - 2-2. In their last head-to-head on December 13, 2025, Stoke City defeated Swansea City 2-1. According to secondary statistics, Swansea City averages 58.4% possession, 1.6 offsides, 1.6 yellow cards, and 10.4 fouls per game over a five-match series. Stoke City averages 47.8% possession, 2.2 offsides, 2 yellow cards, and 6.6 fouls.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Swansea City vs. Stoke City Match

Both teams show moderate scoring averages. Swansea City scores an average of 1.2 and concedes 1.2 goals over the last five matches, with an overall average total of 2.4. Stoke City has slightly higher averages: 1.2 scored, 1.6 conceded, with a total average of 2.8. Swansea City has hit the over 2.5 goals mark in 2 out of 5 games, while Stoke City has done so in 4 out of 5, indicating more high-scoring games involving Stoke City. By halves, Swansea City has only 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Stoke City has 2 out of 5 in the first half and also 2 out of 5 in the second half. In terms of scoring intervals, Swansea City most frequently scores between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (27% each), while Stoke City scores most often at the end (76-90 minutes, 38%). Swansea City concedes most often between 16-30 minutes (100%), while Stoke City's most vulnerable periods are 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Considering both teams average 1.2 goals and Stoke City often engages in high-scoring games, a bet on Over 2.5 goals at 2.10 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Regarding corners, Swansea City averages 3.4 over a five-match series, while Stoke City averages 4.4. For hitting over 9.5 corners: Swansea City has achieved this in 2 out of 5 matches, and Stoke City in 4 out of 5. The line offers a couple of corner totals: Over 9.5 at 1.83, Under 9.5 at 1.87. Swansea City is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.60. Given the statistics, it makes sense to consider betting on over 9.5 corners, as Stoke City consistently shows high numbers, and Swansea City can keep up the pace in this aspect.