Prediction for match Sweden — Poland

Match Odds and Probabilities

In the European World Cup qualifiers, Sweden will face Poland on March 31. According to the 1X2 odds, Sweden is the favorite with odds of 2.06, a draw is priced at 3.54, and a win for Poland is at 4.03. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Sweden's victory 47.78%, draw 27.80%, Poland's success 24.42%. This setup reflects the advantage of the Swedish team, but Poland also has its chances for a positive result. The match promises to be interesting in terms of the battle for points, considering the balance of power in odds and probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Sweden has an average possession of 48.4%, takes an average of 5.4 corners, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 12.6 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per game. During the same period, Poland has 51% possession, takes 6.4 corners, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 13.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times. In their last three matches, Sweden played as follows: March 26, 2026, Ukraine - Sweden 1-3, November 18, 2025, Sweden - Slovenia 1-1, November 15, 2025, Switzerland - Sweden 4-1. Poland's last three matches were: March 26, 2026, Poland - Albania 2-1, November 17, 2025, Malta - Poland 2-3, November 14, 2025, Poland - Netherlands 1-1. The last head-to-head encounter was on March 29, 2022: Poland - Sweden 2-0.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Sweden vs Poland Match

In a five-match series, Sweden has an average total of 2.8 goals per match, while Poland has 2.6. In terms of goals scored: Sweden scores 1 goal per game, Poland 1.8. Sweden concedes 1.8, Poland 0.8. For over 2.5 goals: both teams had 2 out of 5 games end with three or more goals, the rest were unders. In the first half, both teams only went over 1.5 goals once, the rest were low-scoring. Sweden's second halves are more productive: 4 out of 5 times there were more than 1.5 goals, for Poland - 2 out of 5. Sweden most often scores between the 76th and 90th minute (50%), while Poland scores between the 61st and 75th minute (50%). In terms of goals conceded: Sweden's most vulnerable period is 61-75 (38%), Poland's are 31-45 and 46-60 (29% each). Considering the average scoring of both teams, frequent goals in the second halves, and the timing profile, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.64 seems logical. With this choice, a return is possible with two goals, while three or more will bring a win.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Sweden takes an average of 5.4 corners per game, Poland 6.4. In the last five matches, Sweden's total over 9.5 corners occurred 4 times, Poland's 3 times. Adding the average figures of both teams results in 11.8, which is close to the 11.5 line. For a total of 11.5, there are a couple of outcomes: over 11.5 is priced at 3.20, under 11.5 at 1.26. For the corner outcome, Sweden is the favorite with odds of 1.60. Considering the statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 or 10.5 corners, as well as Sweden's advantage in the number of corners. Overall, both teams show high activity at the corner flag, which could lead to a large number of corner kicks in this match.