Prediction for match Swindon Town — Bolton Wanderers, 06.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The FA Cup continues to thrill with exciting matchups, and on December 6th, Swindon Town will face Bolton Wanderers. The odds for Bolton Wanderers to win are 1.78, for Swindon Town to succeed - 3.88, and a draw is priced at 4.05. In terms of probability percentages, Bolton Wanderers stand out as favorites with 52.68%, Swindon Town has 24.17%, and a draw is at 23.15%. This setup reflects analysts' confidence in Bolton Wanderers' advantage ahead of this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Swindon Town had an average possession of 45.4%, received 3 yellow cards on average, committed 13 fouls, and were caught offside 2.6 times. During the same period, Bolton Wanderers had 59% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Swindon Town defeated Peterborough 1-0 (02.12), won against Chesterfield 2-1 (29.11), and drew with Grimsby Town 2-2 (22.11). Bolton Wanderers thrashed Bradford City 3-0 (02.12), drew 1-1 with Luton Town (29.11), and had a goalless draw with Bradford City 0-0 (22.11). The last head-to-head between these teams was on January 14, 2017, when Bolton Wanderers lost to Swindon Town 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games in their last five matches: Swindon Town has an average total of 2.8 goals, while Bolton Wanderers has 3.4. Swindon Town scores an average of 2 goals per game and concedes 0.8, while Bolton Wanderers scores 2.8 and concedes only 0.6. Both teams have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, confirming their attacking approach. In the first half, Swindon Town has seen more than 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, Bolton Wanderers in 3 out of 5. In the second half, Swindon Town never exceeded 1.5 goals, while Bolton Wanderers did so 2 out of 5 times. Swindon Town most frequently scores between 0-15 minutes (60%) and concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (44%). Bolton Wanderers have scoring peaks between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (30% each) and concede evenly across three intervals: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (25% each). This profile and consistent over 2.5 goals suggest a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.45 is logical, but the main prediction is over 2.75 goals with odds of 1.56, considering both sides' attacking style and average goals per match.

Corner Totals Analysis

In the last five matches, Swindon Town averaged 5.6 corners, Bolton Wanderers 4.6. For over 9.5 corners, Swindon Town hit 4 out of 5, Bolton Wanderers 3 out of 5. Among the proposed corner totals, the line closest to the average combined value (10.2) is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is priced at 2.05, under 10.5 at 1.68. Bolton Wanderers are favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.63. Based on the average corner activity of both teams, a bet on over 10.5 corners seems justified. Swindon Town frequently surpasses the 9.5 mark, confirming high dynamics in this metric.