Prediction for match Tigre — Macara

Match Analysis: Tigre vs. Macara

In the Sudamericana tournament on April 16, Tigre will face Macara. The odds for a Tigre win are 1.59, a draw is at 3.54, and a Macara victory is offered at 6.16. In terms of probabilities: Tigre is rated at 58.57%, a draw at 26.31%, and Macara at 15.12%. The odds and percentages clearly favor Tigre, reflecting the current balance of power between the teams. Bookmakers expect Tigre to control the match, with Macara playing the role of the underdog. The goal total does not promise high scoring, considering the recent match statistics of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Tigre has an average ball possession of 49.6%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 14 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Macara, over the same period, holds the ball an average of 49% of the time, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and is offside 0.4 times. In their last three matches, Tigre played as follows: April 12 - Atletico Tucuman - Tigre - 0-0, April 8 - Alianza Atletico - Tigre - 1-1, April 2 - Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia - 0-2. Macara's last three matches were: April 12 - Guayaquil City FC - Macara - 2-1, April 10 - Macara - America de Cali - 1-1, April 5 - Macara - Aucas - 0-1. The teams have not faced each other recently, so the focus is on current form and statistics.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Tigre has an average total of 1.4 goals per game, while Macara averages 1.8. Tigre scores an average of 0.4 and concedes 1 goal, while Macara scores 0.8 and also concedes 1. For over 2.5 goals, Tigre has never had more than 2.5 goals (0 out of 5), and Macara only once out of 5. In the first half, Tigre has 0 out of 5 for over 1.5, and Macara 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have 1 out of 5 for over 1.5. Tigre most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (67%), while Macara scores most often between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (33% each). Tigre concedes evenly across four intervals: 0-15, 16-30, 46-60, 76-90. Macara concedes most frequently between 61-75 minutes (50%). This statistics indicates low scoring, especially from Tigre, and no significant over-profile in totals. Macara also does not show high scoring. The optimal choice seems to be a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.53, supported by both the average goal figures and the frequency of totals in recent matches.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For corners, Tigre averages 3.2 per match, and Macara 4.8. In a five-match series, Tigre has 1 out of 5 for over 9.5 corners, and Macara 2 out of 5. Among the available total corners, the line closest to the sum of average figures (8) is 8.5: total corners over 8.5 is at 1.73, under 8.5 at 1.99. In the corners outcome, Tigre is favored with odds of 1.34. Considering that neither team shows extremely high values for corners, a bet on total corners in the range of 8-9.5 seems logical. Also, it's worth noting that Macara slightly more often exceeds 9.5 corners, but overall, both teams are not prone to large spikes in this statistic.