Prediction for match Tigres UANL — Mazatlán

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Liga MX clash on April 25, Tigres UANL will face Mazatlán. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Tigres UANL win at 1.19, a draw at 7.20, and a Mazatlán victory at 10.50. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 78.21% for Tigres UANL to win, 12.93% for a draw, and 8.86% for Mazatlán. This distribution indicates a significant advantage for Tigres UANL across all key betting parameters. Meanwhile, a draw or a win for Mazatlán are considered unlikely outcomes, as confirmed by recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Tigres UANL recorded the following results: on 23.04.2026 Atlas - Tigres UANL 0-0, on 18.04.2026 Necaxa - Tigres UANL 1-1, on 16.04.2026 Seattle Sounders - Tigres UANL 3-1. Mazatlán's last three results were: on 23.04.2026 Mazatlán - Toluca 4-3, on 18.04.2026 Mazatlán - Querétaro 1-1, on 12.04.2026 UNAM Pumas - Mazatlán 3-1. On average, over five matches, Tigres UANL holds 50.6% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and is caught offside 0.6 times. Mazatlán averages 42.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. The last head-to-head match was on 24.08.2025 and ended with a score of Mazatlán - Tigres UANL 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams show interesting numbers in terms of goal-scoring. In a five-match series, Tigres UANL averages 2.6 goals per game, while Mazatlán averages 3.6. Tigres UANL scores 1.6 and concedes 1, while Mazatlán also scores 1.6 but concedes 2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for Tigres UANL and in 3 out of 5 for Mazatlán. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were recorded 2 times out of 5 for Tigres UANL and 3 out of 5 for Mazatlán. In the second half, Tigres UANL had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, and Mazatlán in 2 out of 5. Goal intervals: Tigres UANL most frequently scores between 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (27% each), while Mazatlán scores in the 0-15, 46-60, and 61-75 minute intervals (27% each). For conceded goals, Tigres UANL has an even distribution across three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while 57% of Mazatlán's conceded goals occur between 31-45 minutes. Considering both teams score an average of 1.6 each, and Mazatlán concedes 2, a high-scoring match is logical. Over 3.0 goals is priced at 1.53, and this option appears most justified based on the combined statistics and frequency of over totals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Tigres UANL averages 4.8 per match, and Mazatlán averages 4.4. Over the last 5 games, Tigres UANL exceeded a total of 9.5 corners just once, while Mazatlán did so in all 5 matches. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.2) is set at 9.5. For this line, the odds are: no pair for over 9.5, no pair for under 9.5. Based on this data, Mazatlán is expected to actively earn corners, and the overall total could be close to 9-10. Overall, betting on a corner total above the average seems justified, especially considering Mazatlán's consistent performance in exceeding higher totals.