Prediction for match Tondela — Rio Ave

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Rio Ave is set for March 9, 2026. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Tondela to win is priced at 2.11, a draw at 3.39, and Rio Ave to win at 3.80. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Tondela - 45.92%, Draw - 28.58%, Rio Ave - 25.50%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 2.10, while under 2.5 is at 1.80. For both teams to score: Yes - 1.81, No - 1.90. Notable individual totals include Tondela Over 1.5 goals at 2.07 and Rio Ave Over 1 goal at 2.00. Double chance options: 1X - 1.29, 12 - 1.35, X2 - 1.78. For the first half: a draw is at 1.99, Tondela to win - 2.68, Rio Ave - 4.35.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Tondela averages 38.2% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Rio Ave averages 47.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Tondela's last three matches: March 1 - Tondela vs Santa Clara - 2-2, February 20 - Estrela vs Tondela - 0-2, February 13 - Tondela vs Alverca - 1-1. For Rio Ave: March 1 - Rio Ave vs Famalicão - 0-0, February 22 - Porto vs Rio Ave - 1-0, February 16 - Rio Ave vs Moreirense - 1-2. In their last head-to-head on October 5, 2025, Rio Ave defeated Tondela 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Tondela's average total goals are 2.4, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1. Rio Ave's average total is 2, scoring 0.2 and conceding 1.8. Tondela has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Rio Ave has in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Tondela had over 1.5 goals 2 times in 5 matches, Rio Ave 1 in 5. In the second half, Tondela had over 1.5 goals 1 in 5, Rio Ave 2 in 5. Tondela often scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%) and concedes mostly in the first 15 minutes (57%). Rio Ave's goals are spread evenly across five intervals at 20% each, with most goals conceded between the 46th and 60th minutes (40%). Overall, Tondela has better attacking stats, Rio Ave scores little but concedes often. The bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.80 seems logical, considering Rio Ave's low scoring and not very high average total.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Average corners over 5 matches: Tondela - 4.6, Rio Ave - 3.8. Together, this totals 8.4 corners per game. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Tondela 3 out of 5, Rio Ave 4 out of 5. Among corner total odds, the pair stands out: over 9.5 - 1.75, under 9.5 - 1.94. Tondela is the favorite on corners with odds of 1.77. In this match-up, betting on over 9.5 corners seems reasonable, given the regular occurrence of this total in recent matches for both teams. Also noteworthy, Tondela often delivers more than 4 corners per match, while Rio Ave's number is slightly lower but still consistent.