Prediction for match Torino — Roma

Match Analysis: Torino vs Roma

On January 18th, Torino will face Roma in Serie A. The 1X2 odds favor Roma as the favorite: a Roma win is priced at 2.16, with a probability of 45.61%. A draw is offered at 3.29 with a probability of 29.94%, while Torino's success is rated at 4.03 with a probability of 24.45%. Thus, analysts lean towards Roma's advantage, but do not rule out a draw, considering the relatively high probability of a tie.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Torino has played as follows: January 13 - Roma 2-3 Torino, January 10 - Atalanta 2-0 Torino, January 7 - Torino 1-2 Udinese. Roma's last three matches were: January 13 - Roma 2-3 Torino, January 10 - Roma 2-0 Sassuolo, January 6 - Lecce 0-2 Roma. Over a five-match series, Torino's average possession is 48.8%, with 2.2 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. Roma has 58% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on January 13, Torino defeated Roma 3-2.

Goal Scoring Trends

In the last five matches, Torino's average goals per game is 3.2, with the team scoring and conceding 1.6 each. Roma's average total goals is 2.8, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1. Torino had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Roma had 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, both teams managed only once out of 5, but in the second half, Torino had 3 out of 5 matches with two or more goals, and Roma had 2 out of 5. Torino most frequently scores between the 76th-90th minute (50%), and Roma in the same interval (38%). Torino is also most vulnerable to conceding in the final minutes (76-90, 40%), with Roma at 33% in the same period. Overall, both teams tend to have high-scoring finishes, and Torino generally shows an over-profile in totals. Given that both teams' average goals exceed 2.5, and Torino recorded over 2.5 in 4 out of 5 matches, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.33 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Torino earns 5 corners per game, and Roma 4.4. In a five-match series, both teams had only 1 game with over 9.5 corners. Considering the corner total, the line closest to the sum of the averages (9.4) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.18, under 9.5 at 1.64. Roma is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.68. In this matchup, expecting 8-10 corners seems reasonable, and betting on over 9.5 corners looks justified at high odds.