Prediction for match Toulouse — Lens, 02.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lens is scheduled for January 2, 2026. According to the bookmakers, a win for Lens is priced at 2.64, while Toulouse's victory is at 2.90, and a draw is at 3.43. The probability percentages are as follows: Toulouse - 33.97%, draw - 28.72%, Lens - 37.31%. Lens has a slight edge in expectations, but the gap between the teams isn't significant, as reflected in the odds and percentages. Overall, the match promises to be quite competitive, with both sides having their chances of success.

Team Results and Statistics

Toulouse has been in good form over the last five matches: a win over Lyon Duchère 2-1, a convincing victory against Paris FC 3-0, and a narrow win over Strasbourg 1-0. They also had a draw with Marseille 2-2 and a loss to Angers 0-1. Lens has also been impressive in their last five matches: a win over Feignies-Aulnoye 3-1, then 2-0 against Nice, 2-1 against Nantes, 2-1 against Angers, and a narrow win over Strasbourg 1-0. In their last head-to-head on May 10, 2025, the teams drew 1-1. In additional metrics, Toulouse's average ball possession over five matches is 41.4%, with 2 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Lens has higher possession at 59.8%, with 0.8 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. These figures suggest that Lens prefers to control the ball, while Toulouse plays more aggressively and commits more fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams show similar scoring stats: Toulouse's average total goals over five matches is 2.4, while Lens's is 2.6. Toulouse scores 1.6 and concedes 0.8, while Lens scores 2 and concedes 0.6. Both teams have over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. By halves, Toulouse has only 1 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. Lens has 2 out of 5 with over 1.5 in the first half and also 2 out of 5 in the second. In terms of goal intervals: Toulouse most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (75%) and concedes between the 16th and 30th minutes (33%). Lens most often scores between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (27% each) and concedes at the end of the first (31st-45th, 40%) and second halves (76th-90th, 40%). Overall, both teams regularly score and have solid defenses, creating conditions for both teams to score. Considering both sides have 3 matches over 2.5 and good scoring stats, a bet on "Both Teams to Score: Yes" at 1.70 seems reasonable.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In terms of average corners, Lens significantly outperforms Toulouse: 7.2 versus 5.2 per match. In the last five games, both teams have 3 matches over 9.5 corners. For the corner total of 9.5, the options are: over 9.5 at 2.02, under 9.5 at 1.99. For corner outcomes, Toulouse is the favorite with odds of 2.08. In this scenario, a bet on over 9.5 corners looks interesting, considering Lens's attacking style and Toulouse's steady contribution. It's also worth noting that both teams can maintain a high tempo in terms of corners, as evidenced by their average figures and frequency of matches over 9.5.