Prediction for match Toulouse — Lille

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Ligue 1, Toulouse will face Lille on April 12th. According to the 1X2 odds, Lille is the favorite with odds of 2.44 for a win, while Toulouse is at 3.27, and a draw is priced at 3.34. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Lille - 40.38%, Toulouse - 30.13%, draw - 29.50%. This indicates a slight advantage for Lille, but Toulouse also has a fair chance to earn points. Considering the statistics and scoring abilities of both teams, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.28 is intriguing.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Toulouse lost to PSG 1-3 on April 3rd, defeated Lorient 1-0 on March 21st, and won against Metz 4-3 on March 15th. During the same period, Lille beat Lens 3-0 on April 4th, won against Marseille 2-1 on March 22nd, and lost to Aston Villa 0-2 on March 19th. Over a five-match stretch, Toulouse averages 41.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2 offsides. Lille has higher possession at 47.4%, with 2.4 yellow cards, 8.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Their last head-to-head was on September 14, 2025, when Lille won 2-1.

How Many Goals in the Toulouse vs Lille Match

In the last five games, Toulouse's average total goals is 3.4, while Lille's is 2.4. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of their last 5 matches. Toulouse scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 1.8, while Lille scores 1.4 and concedes 1. In terms of halves, Toulouse has 3 out of 5 games with two or more goals in the first half, while Lille has none. In the second half, Lille shows 4 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals, and Toulouse 2 out of 5. By intervals: Toulouse often scores late (76-90, 33%) and concedes early (0-15, 38%). Lille is most productive between 46-60 minutes (57%) and concedes most often in the same interval (46-60, 40%). These stats suggest a high potential for a goal-rich match, especially in the second half, supporting the bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.28.

Corners in the Match

Both teams average 3.4 corners per match. In a five-match series, Toulouse had over 9.5 corners once, while Lille had it twice. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.99, under 9.5 is at 1.73. Lille is favored in the corner market with odds of 1.80. Considering the averages and frequencies, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, but a high number of corners is not expected.