Prediction for match Toulouse — Nice, 17.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the French Ligue 1 on January 17, Toulouse will face Nice. The odds for a Toulouse win are set at 1.98, a draw at 3.74, and a Nice victory at 4.12. The probabilities of the outcomes are distributed as follows: Toulouse - 49.75%, draw - 26.34%, Nice - 23.91%. According to the bookmakers, Toulouse is slightly favored, although the gap in chances between the teams is not very large. There are interesting odds for total goals and both teams to score, which allows for several betting directions to be considered.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Toulouse has shown 39.8% ball possession, averaged 2.4 yellow cards, committed 17.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Nice, in the same period, held the ball 44.2% of the time, received 2.2 yellow cards, committed 11.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In the last three matches, Toulouse played as follows: January 10 - Angers vs Toulouse 6-7, January 2 - Toulouse vs Lens 0-3, December 20 - Lyon Duchère vs Toulouse 1-2. Nice in their last three matches: January 11 - Nantes vs Nice 4-6, January 3 - Nice vs Strasbourg 1-1, December 21 - Nice vs Saint-Étienne 2-1. The last head-to-head match was on August 16, 2025: Nice vs Toulouse 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Toulouse has an average total of 2.4 goals, Nice - 2.0. Toulouse scores 1.4, concedes 1.0, Nice scores 0.8, concedes 1.2. For total over 2.5: Toulouse has 3 out of 5, Nice only 1 out of 5. For total over 1.5 in the first half, both teams recorded 1 out of 5, and for total over 1.5 in the second half, Toulouse 3 out of 5, Nice 1 out of 5. In goal intervals, Toulouse most often scores between 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Nice scores in the 46-60 minute interval (50%). For goals conceded, Toulouse is most vulnerable in the 46-60 minute interval (40%), Nice in the 16-30 minute segment (40%). Considering Nice's low scoring and Toulouse's moderate performance, along with Nice's frequent unders on total 2.5, a bet on total under 2.5 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Toulouse averages 4.4 corners per match, Nice - 6. For total corners over 9.5: both teams have 2 out of 5 matches. The most closely aligned to the average total is 9.5, for which both options are available: total corners over 9.5 - 1.85, under 9.5 - 1.85. For the outcome on corners, Toulouse is favored with odds of 1.60. Based on the average activity of both teams in corner deliveries, a bet on total corners around 9.5 seems logical, but there is no clear trend towards over or under.