Prediction for match Twente — Excelsior

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Eredivisie, Twente faces Excelsior on January 24, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Twente is the clear favorite with odds of 1.36, giving them a 70.44% chance of victory. A draw is priced at 5.36 (17.87%), while an Excelsior win is at 8.20 (11.68%). The betting lines also highlight the total goals market: over 2.75 goals is offered at 1.56, and both teams to score is at 1.74. For those seeking riskier options, consider over 3.25 goals at 1.95. Overall, expectations for a high-scoring match are supported by the odds on individual totals.

Team Results and Statistics

Twente has achieved two wins and one draw in their last three matches: a 2-0 victory over Heracles on January 18, a 2-1 win against Utrecht on January 13, and a 1-1 draw with Zwolle on January 10. Excelsior drew 1-1 with AZ Alkmaar on January 21, had a 2-2 draw with Telstar on January 17, and lost 1-5 to PSV on January 10. In terms of ball possession over five games, Twente holds 57.6%, while Excelsior has 49.2%. Twente averages 1.4 yellow cards per match, Excelsior 1.6. Excelsior commits more fouls at 10.4 per game compared to Twente's 8.2. Offside stats also show a difference: 1.6 for Excelsior and 0.6 for Twente. In their last head-to-head on August 30, 2025, Excelsior defeated Twente 1-0.

Goals by Match Statistics

Over a five-match span, Twente averages 3.6 total goals per game, while Excelsior averages 3.4. Twente scores 2.4 goals per match and concedes 1.2, whereas Excelsior scores 1.2 and concedes 2.2. For matches exceeding 2.5 total goals, Twente has 2 out of 5, and Excelsior has 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals have never occurred for Twente and only once for Excelsior. The second half sees more action: Twente has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals, and Excelsior 4 out of 5. Twente most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Excelsior scores most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (30%). Twente concedes most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%), and Excelsior between the 46th and 60th minutes (43%). Given both teams' high scoring potential, especially in the second half, a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.56 seems logical. Goal and timing stats confirm both teams tend to play actively in the second half.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Twente averages 5.8 corners over five matches, while Excelsior averages 4. For over 9.5 total corners, Twente has 1 out of 5, and Excelsior 3 out of 5. Odds for over 9.5 corners are at 1.68, under 9.5 at 2.03. Twente is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.20. Considering the average total corners from both teams (9.8), a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Additionally, consider individual corner stats for Twente, as the team consistently delivers over 5.5 per match.