Prediction for match UNAM Pumas — Queretaro

Odds and Outcome Probability Percentages

In Liga MX on January 11, UNAM Pumas will face Queretaro. Bookmakers have a clear favorite: UNAM Pumas have odds of 1.46 to win, a draw is at 4.15, and a Queretaro victory is at 6.75. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: UNAM Pumas 63.77%, draw 22.44%, Queretaro 13.79%. This distribution reflects the advantage of UNAM Pumas in most statistical metrics, as well as their higher attacking potential over recent matches. The goal total odds also suggest a likelihood of a high-scoring game, but with some caution on the higher lines.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, UNAM Pumas have an average ball possession of 56.2%, 2.4 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Queretaro, over the same period, have 36.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last three matches, UNAM Pumas results were: 21.11.2025 Pachuca - UNAM Pumas 3-1, 09.11.2025 Cruz Azul - UNAM Pumas 2-3, 02.11.2025 UNAM Pumas - Tijuana 4-1. Queretaro played as follows: 08.11.2025 Juarez - Queretaro 1-2, 02.11.2025 Queretaro - Mazatlan 1-0, 26.10.2025 Santos Laguna - Queretaro 3-1. In their last head-to-head on 26.07.2025, Queretaro lost to UNAM Pumas 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

UNAM Pumas have an average goal total of 3.4 over the last five games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6. Queretaro in this series record 2.6 goals per match, scoring 1 and conceding 1.6. Both teams have 3 out of 5 matches over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 out of 5 times for both teams, while in the second half, UNAM Pumas played 4 out of 5 over 1.5, Queretaro only 1 out of 5. By goal intervals, UNAM Pumas most frequently score between 31 and 45 minutes (40%), and concede between 76 and 90 (50%). Queretaro most often score between 16 and 30 minutes (30%), and concede evenly across three different intervals at 33% each. This statistics support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.86, as both teams regularly participate in high-scoring matches, with UNAM Pumas particularly active in the second half. Meanwhile, Queretaro's defense lacks reliability, which also favors the over total.

Corner Totals Analysis

UNAM Pumas average 4.6 corners over five matches, while Queretaro averages 3. For the total over 9.5 corners: UNAM Pumas have played over in 3 out of 5, Queretaro only 1 out of 5. The total closest to the sum of the averages (7.6) is 8.5: for over 8.5, the odds are 1.49, for under 8.5 - 2.43. In the corner outcome, UNAM Pumas are favorites with odds of 1.29. Considering the corner statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 8.5, especially if the teams continue to maintain their average metrics. It is also worth noting that UNAM Pumas often take more corners, which can affect the total number of set pieces in the match.