Prediction for match UNAM Pumas — Cruz Azul

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX on March 15, 2026, UNAM Pumas face Cruz Azul. The odds for a Cruz Azul win are 2.11, for a UNAM Pumas win - 3.29, and for a draw - 3.38. Probabilities are: Cruz Azul - 44.14%, UNAM Pumas - 28.31%, draw - 27.55%. Cruz Azul is considered the favorite, but the gap is not significant. Total goals options: Over 2.5 is at 1.78, Under 2.5 - 1.98. Both Teams to Score: Yes - 1.63, No - 2.14. For individual team totals: UNAM Pumas Over 1.5 - 2.62, Cruz Azul Over 1.5 - 1.98. Double chance odds are: 1X - 1.67, X2 - 1.30, 12 - 1.28. Halftime options: First half total Over 1.0 - 1.74, Second half total Over 1.5 - 1.98.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last 5 games, UNAM Pumas average 51.6% possession, receive 1 yellow card, commit 10.8 fouls, and are caught offside 1 time per match. Cruz Azul averages 50% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Recent matches for UNAM Pumas: March 7, 2026 - Necaxa vs UNAM Pumas - 0-1, March 4, 2026 - UNAM Pumas vs Toluca - 2-3, February 28, 2026 - Tijuana vs UNAM Pumas - 1-1. For Cruz Azul: March 11, 2026 - Monterrey vs Cruz Azul - 2-3, March 7, 2026 - Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis - 3-0, March 4, 2026 - Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul - 1-2. Last head-to-head: November 9, 2025 - Cruz Azul vs UNAM Pumas - 2-3.

Goal Scoring Trends

Both teams show strong attacking capabilities. UNAM Pumas average 1.8 goals scored per match, concede 1.2, with an average total of 3 goals. Cruz Azul is even more prolific: 2.4 goals scored, 0.8 conceded, total average - 3.2. In their last five matches, UNAM Pumas had Over 2.5 goals in 2 games, Under 2.5 in 3. Cruz Azul had Over 2.5 in 4 games, Under 2.5 in 1. By halves: UNAM Pumas had Over 1.5 goals in the first half 4 times, in the second half - 2 times. Cruz Azul had Over 1.5 in the first half - 2 times, in the second half - 4 times. Goal intervals: UNAM Pumas score most often between the 16th and 30th minute (43%), and concede between the 31st and 45th and the 76th and 90th (38% each). Cruz Azul scores most frequently from the 31st to 45th minute (38%), and concedes from the 76th to 90th (44%). Combined, both teams have a strong over-profile: both have an average total goals above 3, with Cruz Azul having 4 out of 5 matches Over 2.5, and UNAM Pumas showing high first-half scoring. The most logical bet seems to be on Over 2.5 goals at 1.78.

Analysis of Corner Totals

UNAM Pumas average 3.8 corners per match, Cruz Azul - 4.4. In a five-match series, UNAM Pumas had over 9.5 corners 3 times, Cruz Azul - 2 times. Considering the average (3.8 + 4.4 = 8.2), the closest line is 8.5. For this total, the odds are: Over 8.5 - 1.51, Under 8.5 - 2.30. Cruz Azul is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.79. Given both teams' activity in corner kicks and the frequency of exceeding 9.5, a bet on Over 8.5 corners seems justified. Individual corner totals for Cruz Azul can also be considered, given their average of 4.4 per game.