Prediction for match UNAM Pumas — Leon

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX on January 18, 2026, UNAM Pumas will face Leon. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for UNAM Pumas is priced at 1.84, a draw at 3.54, and a win for Leon at 4.04. The probabilities for these outcomes are: UNAM Pumas - 50.63%, draw - 26.31%, Leon - 23.06%. UNAM Pumas is seen as the favorite according to the odds and percentages, but Leon is capable of putting up a fight, judging by the recent match statistics of both teams.

Review of Recent Matches

In their last five games, UNAM Pumas and Leon show different dynamics in secondary statistics. UNAM Pumas averages 52.2% possession, commits 15.4 fouls, receives 3 yellow cards, and records 1 offside per game. Leon has a similar possession rate at 52.6%, but fewer yellow cards (1.4) and fouls (11.8), and also 1 offside per game. Recent matches for UNAM Pumas: 01/15/2026 - Tigres UANL vs. UNAM Pumas 0-1, 01/11/2026 - UNAM Pumas vs. Querétaro 1-1, 11/21/2025 - Pachuca vs. UNAM Pumas 3-1. Leon's matches: 01/14/2026 - Pachuca vs. Leon 2-1, 01/11/2026 - Leon vs. Cruz Azul 2-1, 11/09/2025 - Leon vs. Puebla 1-2. Their last head-to-head on 10/26/2025 ended in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams tend to play in high-scoring matches. In their last five games, UNAM Pumas has an average total of 3.4 goals, scoring 2 and conceding 1.4 per game. Leon averages 2.6 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 1.6. Both teams have had 3 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals. For first halves, UNAM Pumas has 3 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, and 4 out of 5 in the second half, while Leon has 1 out of 5 in the first and 4 out of 5 in the second half. This indicates a trend towards a more goal-rich second half. Goal intervals: UNAM Pumas most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (40%) and concedes between the 61st and 75th minute (43%). Leon scores most often between the 46th and 60th minute (38%) and concedes between the 76th and 90th minute (50%). Overall, both teams regularly play in matches with three or more goals, which is supported by the over 2.5 goals trend. Therefore, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.85 seems reasonable.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For average corners over 5 matches, UNAM Pumas has 5.2, Leon has 4.6, totaling 9.8. In four of the last five matches of both teams, there were more than 9.5 corners. For the corner total of 9.5, both options are available: over 9.5 is priced at 1.79, under 9.5 at 1.89. In the corner outcome line, UNAM Pumas is favored with odds of 1.48. Considering the averages and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. You might also consider betting on UNAM Pumas to win on corners, given their consistency in this metric.