Prediction for match Udinese — Lazio

Match Analysis: Udinese vs Lazio

In Serie A on December 27, 2025, Udinese will face Lazio. According to the 1X2 odds, a Lazio win is priced at 2.57, while a draw and a Udinese win are both at 3.20. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 38.37% for a Lazio win, and 30.82% each for a draw and a Udinese win. Thus, Lazio is seen as the more likely winner, although the gap between the teams isn't significant. The match promises to be tactically rich, considering the balance of odds and percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

Udinese's ball possession over the last five matches averages 44.4%, while Lazio's is 50.4%. The average number of yellow cards for Udinese is 1.2, and for Lazio, it's 2.2. In terms of fouls, Udinese records 14 per game, while Lazio has 10.8. Offsides: 1.8 for Udinese and 1.2 for Lazio. In their last three matches, Udinese played as follows: December 21 - Fiorentina vs Udinese 5-1, December 14 - Udinese vs Napoli 1-0, December 8 - Udinese vs Genoa 1-2. Lazio's recent games were: December 20 - Lazio vs Cremonese 0-0, December 13 - Parma vs Lazio 0-1, December 7 - Lazio vs Bologna 1-1. In their head-to-head meeting on March 10, 2025, Lazio and Udinese drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Udinese's average total goals per game is 2.8, while Lazio's is 1. Udinese scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.8, whereas Lazio scores 0.6 and concedes 0.4. Udinese had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Lazio never exceeded this total in 5 matches. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once in 5 matches for both teams, while in the second half, Udinese had it twice, and Lazio never. Udinese most frequently scores and concedes between the 61st and 75th minutes (44% and 40% respectively), while Lazio has three equal scoring intervals (31-45, 46-60, 76-90 - each 33%), but concedes most often at the end of halves: 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (50% each). Given Lazio's low scoring rate and Udinese's not-so-strong attack, as well as Lazio's under-profile for over 2.5 goals, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.69 seems most logical. Both teams have rarely produced high-scoring games recently, and Lazio is known for its solid defense.

Corner Totals Analysis

In their last five matches, Udinese averages 4.2 corners, while Lazio averages 4.8. The over 9.5 corners total was reached only once out of 5 matches for both teams. The closest to the sum of average corners is a total of 9.5, with both options available: over 9.5 corners at 1.98, under 9.5 at 1.77. Lazio is the favorite in the corner outcome with odds of 2.00. Based on the average corner activity and rare overs, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified, though an over 9.5 is not excluded if both teams increase their attacking activity.