Prediction for match Ujpest — Diosgyori

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In the Hungarian National Championship I on 21.02.2026, Ujpest faces Diosgyori. Bookmakers consider Ujpest the favorite, offering odds of 1.81 for their win, with a 50.27% chance of success. A draw is priced at 3.62 (25.14%), and a win for Diosgyori at 3.70 (24.59%). This suggests an advantage for Ujpest, although the percentage difference between the teams isn't overwhelming. High-scoring outcomes are also anticipated: over 2.5 goals is at 1.65, and both teams to score is at 1.58. The lowest odds for correct scores are 1:1 (6.00), 2:1 (6.50), and 1:0 (7.50), indicating a likelihood of both teams scoring and a potential battle until the final moments.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Ujpest shows 55.8% ball possession, averages 1.6 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Diosgyori plays more aggressively with 18.8 fouls, 3.2 yellow cards, 42.4% possession, and 1.6 offsides. Recent matches for Ujpest: 13.02.2026 - Ujpest vs Debrecen 2-1, 07.02.2026 - Ferencvaros vs Ujpest 3-0, 31.01.2026 - Ujpest vs Puskas Academy 0-1. Diosgyori's recent results: 14.02.2026 - Paks vs Diosgyori 1-2, 07.02.2026 - Diosgyori vs Gyor 1-1, 01.02.2026 - Diosgyori vs Kisvarda 1-1. Their last head-to-head was on 02.11.2025: Diosgyori vs Ujpest 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Ujpest has an average total of 3.2 goals in their last 5 matches, while Diosgyori averages 2.6. Both teams score 1.2 goals per game, with Ujpest conceding 2 and Diosgyori 1.4. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of Ujpest's last 5 matches and in 2 of Diosgyori's. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened 3 times for Ujpest and once for Diosgyori. Both teams had over 1.5 goals in the second half in 3 of their last 5 matches. Ujpest frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (38%), while Diosgyori scores mostly between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (29% each). Ujpest often concedes in the final minutes (76-90, 44%), and Diosgyori between 61-75 and 76-90 (25% each). These stats indicate a tendency for high-scoring endings and activity in both halves. Considering the average scoring rate, over 2.5 goals trends, and frequent second-half goals, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.65 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Ujpest averages 4.2 corners over 5 matches, while Diosgyori averages 3.6. Over 9.5 corners occurred 2 times for Ujpest and 4 times for Diosgyori in their last five games. Combining these averages, around 7.8 corners are expected per match. The market offers over 9.5 corners at 1.70 and under 9.5 at 2.02. Ujpest is favored in corner outcomes at 1.44. Based on the statistics, a total corners bet closer to 8-10 seems logical, with Ujpest expected to have the edge in corners.