Prediction for match Union Berlin — St. Pauli

Union Berlin vs St. Pauli Match Analysis

On April 5th, Union Berlin will face St. Pauli in the Bundesliga. The odds for a Union Berlin win are 2.15, a draw is at 3.38, and a St. Pauli win is at 3.92. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Union Berlin - 45.78%, draw - 29.12%, St. Pauli - 25.11%. These numbers suggest that Union Berlin is the favorite, but the gap isn't too large, indicating a potential contest. The market for totals shows that over 1.5 goals at 1.51 is closest to average scoring, while both teams to score: yes is at 2.12, no is at 1.66.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Union Berlin lost to Bayern 0-4, beat Freiburg 1-0, and lost to Werder 1-4. St. Pauli's recent results include a 1-2 loss to Freiburg, a 0-2 defeat against Borussia M, and a 0-0 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt. Over the last five games, Union Berlin has an average possession of 30.6%, commits 2.4 offsides, receives 2.4 yellow cards, and commits 12.2 fouls per match. St. Pauli holds 43% possession, records 2.6 offsides, receives 1.8 yellow cards, and makes 8.4 fouls. In their last head-to-head on November 23, 2025, St. Pauli lost to Union Berlin 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Union Berlin scores an average of 0.6 goals, concedes 1.8, with a total goal average of 2.4 per game. St. Pauli scores 0.8, concedes 1, with a total average of 1.8 goals. Both teams have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and under in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Union Berlin went over 1.5 goals twice in five games, St. Pauli not once. In the second half, both teams have 2 out of 5 over 1.5. Union Berlin most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 31st-45th minutes (29% each), and concedes at the end of the first and second halves (40% each). St. Pauli most often scores between the 61st-75th minutes (40%) and concedes in the same period (50%). The statistics point to low scoring for both teams, as confirmed by average totals and frequency of unders. A logical choice would be a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.57.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Union Berlin averages 1.8 corners per match, St. Pauli - 3. For over 9.5 corners, Union Berlin has gone over once and under four times in five matches, while St. Pauli has gone over twice and under three times. The line closest to the average corners (4.8) is over 7.5 at 1.34 and under 7.5 at 2.97. Union Berlin is the favorite on corners with odds of 1.82. Given the low averages and frequency of unders, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems logical.