Prediction for match Union Berlin — Werder Bremen

Odds and Probability of Match Outcomes

In the Bundesliga, Union Berlin faces Werder Bremen on March 8, 2026. The odds for Union Berlin to win are 2.34, for Werder Bremen to win - 3.35, and a draw is at 3.46. Looking at the probabilities, Union Berlin is rated at 42.11%, a draw at 28.48%, and Werder Bremen at 29.41%. Among the options presented, the bet on over 2.0 goals at odds of 1.52 seems optimal in terms of balancing risk and recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Union Berlin has averaged 37.2% possession, committed 12.4 fouls, received 2.6 yellow cards, and had 1.4 offsides per game. Werder Bremen, over the same period, averaged 55.8% possession, committed 10.4 fouls, received 2.2 yellow cards, and had 1.6 offsides. In their last three games, Union Berlin played as follows: 02/28/2026 Borussia M - Union Berlin 1-0, 02/21/2026 Union Berlin - Bayer 1-0, 02/14/2026 Hamburg - Union Berlin 3-2. Werder Bremen's last three matches were: 02/28/2026 Werder Bremen - Heidenheim 2-0, 02/22/2026 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 2-1, 02/14/2026 Werder Bremen - Bayern 0-3. The last head-to-head match was on 10/24/2025: Werder Bremen - Union Berlin 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match series, Union Berlin scored an average of 1 goal per game, conceded 1.6, with a total goal average of 2.6. Werder Bremen's average figures are lower: 0.8 scored, 1.4 conceded, and 2.2 total goals. Both teams recorded over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and under 2.5 in 3 out of 5. By halves, Union Berlin surpassed over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and three times in the second, while Werder Bremen did so once in the first and three times in the second. Union Berlin most frequently scored between 31-45 minutes (44%), while Werder Bremen scored between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Union Berlin conceded most often at the end (76-90, 50%), Werder Bremen between 61-75 (60%). Given that both teams are capable of creating chances in the second half, and the average goal figures don't lean heavily towards the under, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.52 seems justified. Even with two goals, a refund is possible, and half-time and total goal statistics support this choice.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Union Berlin averages 4.6 corners per match, Werder Bremen - 5. For over 9.5 corners, Union Berlin hit 1 out of 5, Werder Bremen 2 out of 5. The nearest total to the average number of corners is 9.5, for which there are odds for both options: over 9.5 corners is at 1.85, under 9.5 also at 1.85. Union Berlin is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.75. Considering the average activity of both teams in terms of deliveries and the not-so-high frequency of large totals, a bet on total corners closer to 9-10 seems logical, with the edge in corners favoring Union Berlin.