Prediction for match Union Santa Fe — San Lorenzo

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The match between Union Santa Fe and San Lorenzo will take place on 14.02.2026 as part of Argentina's Liga Profesional. The odds for Union Santa Fe to win are 2.35, a draw is at 2.63, and a victory for San Lorenzo is priced at 3.82. In terms of probabilities: Union Santa Fe has 39.86%, a draw is at 35.62%, and San Lorenzo is at 24.52%. Union Santa Fe is slightly favored, but the difference with a draw is minimal, reflecting caution in assessing both teams' chances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five games, Union Santa Fe has averaged 53% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1 offside per match. San Lorenzo's stats are as follows: 50% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. In Union Santa Fe's last three matches: 07.02.2026 - Central Cordoba de Santiago - Union Santa Fe - 1-0, 03.02.2026 - Union Santa Fe - Gimnasia M. - 4-0, 29.01.2026 - Lanus - Union Santa Fe - 2-1. San Lorenzo's last three results are: 08.02.2026 - Huracan - San Lorenzo - 1-0, 31.01.2026 - San Lorenzo - Central Cordoba de Santiago - 1-0, 27.01.2026 - Gimnasia M. - San Lorenzo - 0-1. The last head-to-head meeting between the teams was on 15.06.2024, ending in a 2-1 victory for Union Santa Fe.

Total Goals Statistics

In their last five games, Union Santa Fe has averaged 2.2 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1. San Lorenzo shows similar figures: 2.2 goals on average, with 1 scored and 1.2 conceded. Union Santa Fe has surpassed the total over 2.5 in 3 out of 5 games, while San Lorenzo has done so in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Union Santa Fe recorded at least two goals in 2 out of 5 matches, San Lorenzo in 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have 2 out of 5 for total over 1.5. Union Santa Fe most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%), and concedes between the 16th and 30th minutes (67%). San Lorenzo's most frequent goals occur between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), and they concede most often between the 16th and 30th and 61st and 75th minutes (40% each). The overall statistics on goals and frequency of total overs suggest moderate scoring, where both teams are capable of scoring but not inclined towards high-scoring matches. The most logical choice seems to be a bet on total under 2.0 at odds of 1.48, considering the balance between goals scored and conceded, as well as the average total values.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Union Santa Fe and San Lorenzo average 4.2 corners per match. In the last 5 games, Union Santa Fe only surpassed the total over 9.5 corners once, while San Lorenzo did so twice. The odds for total corners over 9.5 are 2.27, and under 9.5 are 1.52. In the corner outcome market, Union Santa Fe is favored with odds of 1.67. Based on the average number of corners (8.4) and the frequency of exceeding the total of 9.5, a bet on total corners under 9.5 seems most justified. It is also worth noting that both teams do not show high activity in corner deliveries, which further supports a cautious approach to betting on large totals in this aspect.