Prediction for match Utrecht — Porto

Who is the favorite in the Utrecht vs Porto match?

In the UEFA Europa League on November 6, Utrecht will face Porto. According to the 1X2 odds, Porto is the favorite: the Portuguese club's victory is priced at 1.80, which corresponds to a 52.91% probability. The probability of a draw is 24.42% (odds of 3.90), while a win for Utrecht is priced at 4.20, which is estimated at 22.67%. The percentage breakdown clearly highlights Porto as the main force in this matchup, despite the home advantage.

Team results and statistics

In the last five matches, Utrecht averages 48% possession, records 0.8 yellow cards per game, commits 13.6 fouls, and is caught offside 0.6 times per match. Porto shows similar possession stats (48.8%) but significantly exceeds in yellow cards (3 per game) and offsides (2). In Utrecht's last three matches: November 2 - Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen 1-0, October 26 - AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht 4-1, October 23 - Freiburg vs Utrecht 2-0. For Porto: November 2 - Porto vs Braga 2-1, October 27 - Moreirense vs Porto 1-2, October 23 - Nottingham Forest vs Porto 2-0. There have been no head-to-head meetings between these teams this season.

Goals statistics

Over the last five matches, Utrecht has an average total of 3.4 goals per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2 goals. Porto averages 2.2 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 out of 5 times for both sides, while in the second half, Utrecht had it 3 out of 5 times and Porto 1 out of 5. Utrecht most often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (29%), while Porto scores late, from the 76th to the 90th minute (43%). In terms of conceding, Utrecht peaks from the 76th to the 90th minute (40%), and Porto from the 31st to the 45th minute (50%). These stats suggest a likelihood of a high-scoring game, especially towards the final whistle. The combined averages of both teams' goals make over 2.5 goals a logical choice.

Analysis of corners totals

Utrecht averages 4 corners per game over the last 5 matches, while Porto averages 5. In terms of over 9.5 corners: Utrecht achieved this 2 out of 5 times, Porto 1 out of 5. Odds for corners totals: over 9.5 is at 1.91, under 9.5 at 1.80. Porto is favored in corners with odds of 1.62. The data shows that both teams are not very active in earning corners, and a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified, considering the averages and frequency of occurrence.