Prediction for match Utrecht — Nottingham Forest

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the UEFA Europa League on December 11, 2025, Utrecht will face Nottingham Forest. According to 1X2 odds, Nottingham Forest is favored to win, with odds of 1.79 and a probability of 55.02%. A draw is set at odds of 3.92 with a probability of 25.12%, while a victory for Utrecht is at 4.96 and 19.86% respectively. Thus, bookmakers give Nottingham Forest the edge, but a draw is also seen as a plausible outcome, making this an intriguing match in terms of balance of power.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Utrecht showed the following form: they drew 1-1 with Twente on December 7, finished 2-2 against Go Ahead Eagles on November 30, lost 1-2 to Real Betis on November 27, drew 1-1 with Telstar on November 23, and defeated Ajax 2-1 on November 9. During the same period, Nottingham Forest played as follows: they lost 0-3 to Everton on December 6, won 1-0 against Wolverhampton on December 3, lost 0-2 to Brighton on November 30, won 3-0 against Malmo on November 27, and confidently beat Liverpool 3-0 on November 22. On average over the last five games, Utrecht had 40.6% ball possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1 offside. Nottingham Forest had higher possession at 50%, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. These statistics indicate better discipline and ball control by Nottingham Forest, which could influence the match's momentum.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Utrecht vs Nottingham Forest

Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games. Over the last five matches, Utrecht averaged 2.8 goals per game, while Nottingham Forest averaged 2.4. In terms of over 2.5 goals: Utrecht had 3 out of 5 matches, and Nottingham Forest also had 3 out of 5. Both teams have an average of 1.4 goals scored per game, but Utrecht concedes an average of 1.4, while Nottingham Forest concedes 1. Interestingly, for Utrecht, over 1.5 goals were scored in the second half in all 5 matches, while no more than 1.5 goals were scored in the first half. For Nottingham Forest, only 1 out of 5 matches had over 1.5 goals in the second half, and 2 out of 5 in the first half. In terms of timing, Utrecht most frequently scores and concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), while Nottingham Forest scores and concedes most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%), and also concedes late (76th-90th minutes - 33%). This goal structure suggests potential activity after the break, especially from Utrecht. The combination of these data supports a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.96, considering the regularity of this total being exceeded by both teams and their average goal metrics in recent matches.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Utrecht averages 5.2 per match over five games, while Nottingham Forest averages 6.8. In terms of over 9.5 corners: Utrecht hit this in 2 out of 5 matches, and Nottingham Forest in 3 out of 5. Among the presented totals for corners, the closest to the average sum (12) is the line of 11.5, with two outcomes: over 11.5 corners is at 2.97, under 11.5 is at 1.30. Considering a more moderate total, over 9.5 is at 1.77, and under 9.5 is at 1.94. Nottingham Forest is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.67. Based on both teams' average corner activity, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially given that both teams regularly approach 10 or more corners per match.