Prediction for match Valencia — Elche, 10.01.2026

Match Analysis: Valencia vs Elche

In the upcoming La Liga fixture on January 10, 2026, Valencia will face Elche. The odds for a Valencia win are 2.30, a draw is 3.30, and an Elche win is 3.60. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Valencia 42.81%, draw 29.84%, Elche 27.35%. Valencia is seen as the favorite in terms of probability, but the gap is not too large, which is reflected in the odds. Overall, bookmakers expect a fairly tight contest, with neither team having an overwhelming advantage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Valencia has an average possession of 59.6%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per game. Elche, in the same period, has 58% possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 15.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times. In Valencia's last three matches, they lost to Celta 1-4 on January 3, drew with Mallorca 1-1 on December 19, and won against Sporting Gijon 2-0 on December 16. Elche's last three results were a 1-3 loss to Villarreal on January 3, a 4-0 win over Rayo Vallecano on December 21, and a 1-0 win over Eibar on December 16. The last head-to-head meeting between the teams was on April 23, 2023, with Valencia defeating Elche 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Valencia's five-match series shows an average total of 2.8 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. Elche, over the same span, has an average total of 3.2, scoring 2 and conceding 1.2. Valencia has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Elche has 4 out of 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals occurred in 1 out of 5 for Valencia and 2 out of 5 for Elche, while in the second half, it was 3 out of 5 for both teams. For goal intervals, Valencia most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (38%), and Elche evenly splits peaks between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (25% each). Valencia concedes most often in three intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (29% each). Elche concedes most often in the first 30 minutes: 0-15 and 16-30 (40% each). Overall, both teams tend to play in high-scoring matches, especially Elche, and the second-half statistics support a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.57.

Corner Totals Analysis

Valencia averages 6 corners per game, while Elche averages 3.2. Valencia has seen over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches, while Elche has 0 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.2) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 2.08, under 9.5 is at 1.67. Valencia is the favorite in the corner outcome line with odds of 1.64. Statistically, it makes sense to consider the over 9.5 corners option, given Valencia's activity and tendency for high corner matches.