Prediction for match Vasco da Gama — Chapecoense, 06.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match

Vasco da Gama and Chapecoense will face off on February 5 in Serie A. Bookmakers offer odds of 1.71 for a Vasco da Gama win, 3.64 for a draw, and 5.50 for a Chapecoense victory. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 56.16% for a Vasco da Gama win, 26.38% for a draw, and 17.46% for a Chapecoense win. Based on these odds and percentages, Vasco da Gama is considered the favorite, while Chapecoense is the underdog. These figures reflect the current balance of power between the teams at the start of the season.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Vasco da Gama has an average possession of 58.6%, receives 0.4 yellow cards, commits 8 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per game. Chapecoense, in the same period, has 48.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 2 offsides. Vasco da Gama's last three games: February 2 - Madureira 0-0 Vasco da Gama, January 29 - Mirassol 2-1 Vasco da Gama, January 25 - Boavista SC 0-3 Vasco da Gama. Chapecoense played January 28 - Chapecoense 4-2 Santos, November 23 - Chapecoense 1-0 Atletico Goianiense, November 15 - Volta Redonda 1-1 Chapecoense. In their last head-to-head on July 31, 2022, the teams drew 0-0.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense Match

Vasco da Gama averages 2.6 goals per game in their last five matches, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1. Chapecoense's averages are 2.4 goals per match, with 1.4 scored and 1 conceded. Vasco da Gama has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, while Chapecoense has only 1 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Vasco da Gama and once for Chapecoense. In the second half, both teams played over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games. Goal intervals: Vasco da Gama most often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (43%) and concedes between the 61st and 75th (43%). Chapecoense scores in two intervals - 31-45 and 76-90 (29% each), and concedes most often at the end (76-90, 40%). Considering both teams' average scoring rates, Vasco da Gama's regular over 2.5 totals, and Chapecoense's lower frequency, a bet on over 2.25 goals at 1.72 seems justified. This choice is supported by average goal values and time distribution.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Vasco da Gama averages 2.4 corners per match, Chapecoense - 6.2. In the last 5 games, Vasco da Gama had 2 out of 5 over 9.5 corners, Chapecoense - 3 out of 5. Combining the averages, there are 8.6 corners for both. Among the totals with both over/under outcomes, 8.5 is the closest fit: over 8.5 corners is at 1.44, under 8.5 at 2.47. Vasco da Gama is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.51. Based on statistics, 8-9 corners can be expected in the match, with Chapecoense consistently delivering more and Vasco da Gama less. A bet on over 8.5 corners seems logical, but the difference in activity between the teams is quite noticeable.