Prediction for match Velez Sarsfield — Boca Juniors, 09.02.2026

Match Analysis: Velez Sarsfield vs. Boca Juniors

The clash between Velez Sarsfield and Boca Juniors in Argentina's Liga Profesional is set for February 9, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Velez Sarsfield is priced at 3.16, a draw at 2.66, and a win for Boca Juniors at 2.67. The probability percentages are as follows: Velez Sarsfield - 29.66%, draw - 35.24%, Boca Juniors - 35.10%. There is no clear favorite, but Boca Juniors and a draw have slightly better chances. Among additional markets, the bet on Both Teams to Score: No at 1.57 seems the most justified based on the recent match statistics of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Velez Sarsfield averaged 47% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Boca Juniors show a higher possession rate of 57%, along with 2.4 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides on average per match. Velez Sarsfield's last three results were: January 31, 2026 - Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield, January 27, 2026 - Velez Sarsfield 2-1 Talleres Cordoba, January 23, 2026 - Instituto Cordoba 0-1 Velez Sarsfield. Boca Juniors' last three matches: February 1, 2026 - Boca Juniors 2-0 Newell's Old Boys, January 29, 2026 - Estudiantes 2-1 Boca Juniors, January 25, 2026 - Boca Juniors 1-0 Deportivo Riestra. The last head-to-head meeting was on November 28, 2024: Boca Juniors 3-4 Velez Sarsfield.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams have tended towards low-scoring games: Velez Sarsfield had only 1 out of 5 matches go over 2.5 total goals, and similarly, Boca Juniors had 1 out of 5 over 2.5. On average, both teams score few goals: Velez Sarsfield - 0.8, Boca Juniors - 1 goal per match. They also concede few: 0.8 for Velez Sarsfield and 0.6 for Boca Juniors. By halves, Velez Sarsfield had only 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. Boca Juniors had low-scoring halves: 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 0 out of 5 in the second. In terms of goal intervals, Velez Sarsfield most frequently scores between 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Boca Juniors scores most often between 31-45 minutes (33%). Velez Sarsfield concedes evenly across all intervals from 16 to 90 minutes (20% each), while Boca Juniors concedes mostly towards the end: 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (50% each). Given the low scoring of both teams and the rare occurrence of over 2.5 goals, a bet on both teams not to score seems logical. Both Teams to Score: No is priced at 1.57.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Velez Sarsfield averages 4.2 corners per match, while Boca Juniors averages 5.6. In their last five matches, Velez Sarsfield recorded over 9.5 corners only once, while Boca Juniors did so three times. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.8) is 9.5: total corners over 9.5 - 2.05, under 9.5 - 1.68. Velez Sarsfield is favored in the corner market with odds of 2.05. Considering that both teams average nearly 10 corners per match, a bet on over 9.5 total corners looks justified, especially given Boca Juniors' frequent overs.