Prediction for match Villarreal — Alaves

Match Preview

Villarreal and Alaves will face off on January 10, 2026, in La Liga. According to the 1X2 odds, Villarreal's victory is priced at 1.52, a draw at 4.53, and an Alaves win at 7.21. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Villarreal 64.67%, draw 21.70%, Alaves 13.63%. The odds and percentages clearly favor Villarreal, reflecting the difference in the current form and results of the teams. Bookmakers expect Villarreal to be closer to victory, with Alaves considered the underdog in this clash.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Villarreal defeated Elche 3-1 on January 3, lost to Barcelona 0-2 on December 21, and were beaten by Racing Santander 1-2 on December 17. Alaves, in their last three games, drew 1-1 with Real Oviedo on January 4, lost 0-3 to Osasuna on December 20, and beat Sevilla 1-0 on December 17. Over a five-match series, Villarreal averages 44.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 4.4 offsides. Alaves averages 50.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head meeting on March 8, 2025, Alaves defeated Villarreal 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match series, Villarreal has an average total of 3.2 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.6 per game. Alaves' figures are significantly lower, with an average of 2 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. Villarreal went over 2.5 goals in three of their last five matches and stayed under twice. Alaves went over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. By halves, Villarreal went over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and once in the second, while Alaves never went over in the first half and did so three times in the second. Villarreal most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 46th-60th minutes (29% each), while Alaves scores between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (43% each). Villarreal most often concedes in the first 15 minutes (44%), while Alaves concedes between the 16th-30th, 46th-60th, and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). Considering Villarreal's consistent scoring and conceding, and Alaves' low scoring rate, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.98 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Villarreal averages 5.8 corners per match, while Alaves averages 5.4. Over a five-match series, Villarreal went over 9.5 corners three times, while Alaves did so four times. The total closest to the average values is 11.5. The odds for over 11.5 corners are 3.42, and under 11.5 is 1.23. Villarreal is favored for the outcome on corners with odds of 1.46. Expect activity on corners from both sides, but the probability of going over 11.5 is not the highest, considering the average figures. Overall, a bet on Villarreal to win on corners seems logical, and for the total, it's worth considering values between 9.5-11.5.