Prediction for match Villarreal — Elche

Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Elche

The match between Villarreal and Elche will take place on March 8th as part of the Spanish La Liga. The odds for the outcome are as follows: Villarreal to win at 1.54, a draw at 4.78, and Elche to win at 6.30. In terms of probability, Villarreal stands out with 63.83%, a draw is estimated at 20.57%, and Elche's chances are 15.60%. Villarreal is the favorite by all parameters, but the goal and total statistics of both teams deserve special attention.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Villarreal had an average ball possession of 43%, received 2.6 warnings, committed 13.4 fouls, and had 2 offsides per game. During the same period, Elche had an average possession of 58.8%, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 11.8 fouls, and had 1.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Villarreal played as follows: 28.02.2026 Barcelona - Villarreal 4-1, 22.02.2026 Villarreal - Valencia 2-1, 18.02.2026 Levante - Villarreal 0-1. Elche's last three games were: 01.03.2026 Elche - Espanyol 2-2, 20.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Elche 2-1, 13.02.2026 Elche - Osasuna 0-0. From their recent head-to-head meetings, note the match on 03.01.2026 Elche - Villarreal 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Villarreal averaged 3.4 goals per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6. Elche's average total is 3, with 1 scored and 2 conceded. In the last 5 matches, both teams recorded over 2.5 goals 4 times, and only once played under. In the first half, both teams had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, while in the second half, Villarreal had 3 out of 5, and Elche 2 out of 5 over 1.5 goals. In terms of goal intervals: Villarreal most often scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%), while Elche scores between the 76th and 90th (38%). Villarreal most frequently concedes in two intervals: 46-60 and 76-90 (40% each). Elche most often concedes in three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75, each at 29%. Given the high scoring nature of both teams, the regular occurrence of over 2.5 goals, and their stable attacking performance, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Villarreal averages 3.6 corners per game, while Elche averages 4. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Villarreal had 1 out of 5, and Elche 2 out of 5. Looking at the corner total odds, the line closest to the average sum (7.6) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is at 1.57, under 8.5 is at 2.19. Villarreal is the favorite for the corner outcome with odds of 1.46. In this match, it is logical to expect 7-9 corners, with Villarreal having a slightly lower average than Elche, but the overall profile does not indicate a clear over on corners. A bet on over 8.5 corners can be considered, but without a clear bias towards a large number of corners.