Prediction for match Vitoria — Sao Paulo, 07.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On December 7th, in Brazil's Serie A, Vitoria will face Sao Paulo. For the 1X2 outcome, bookmakers see Vitoria as the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.92 with a 50.06% probability. A draw is given odds of 3.32 with a 28.95% chance, while a Sao Paulo win is at 4.58 (20.99%). This suggests that Vitoria is viewed as the more stable team in this matchup. The betting line also offers markets for totals, both teams to score, individual totals, and double chance, allowing for bets to match different team play styles.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Vitoria recorded the following results: lost 0-4 to RB Bragantino on December 3rd, won 2-0 against Mirassol on November 29th, defeated Sport Recife 3-1 on November 23rd, drew 0-0 with Palmeiras on November 19th, and also ended goalless against Botafogo on November 9th. In the same period, Sao Paulo beat Internacional 3-0 (December 3rd), lost 0-6 to Fluminense (November 27th), won 2-1 against Juventude (November 23rd), lost 1-3 to Corinthians (November 20th), and lost 0-1 to RB Bragantino (November 9th). In their last head-to-head on August 9th, Sao Paulo won 2-0 against Vitoria. Additional statistics show Vitoria averaging 35.6% possession, 13.8 fouls, 1.4 offsides, and 1.4 yellow cards over 5 matches. Sao Paulo holds 54% possession, commits 13.4 fouls, 1 offside, and 2 warnings per game.

Totals Statistics

Over 5 matches, Vitoria averages a total of 2 goals, scoring and conceding 1 goal per game. Sao Paulo's average total is significantly higher at 3.4, scoring 1.2 but conceding 2.2 goals. For over 2.5 goals, Vitoria has 2 out of 5 matches over, 3 under, while Sao Paulo has 4 out of 5 over and only 1 under. In terms of halves, Vitoria has 2 out of 5 first halves over 1.5, and only 1 second half over 1.5. Sao Paulo has 2 out of 5 first halves over 1.5, and 3 out of 5 second halves over 1.5. Vitoria most frequently scores in the first 30 minutes (29% in both the 0-15 and 16-30 minute segments), but also concedes 67% of goals in the first 15 minutes. Sao Paulo most often scores late (76-90 minutes, 36%), and concedes evenly in the second half - 33% in each of the three segments after the 45th minute. Considering Sao Paulo's over-profile on totals and Vitoria's relatively low scoring, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.73 seems logical: both teams have arguments for this bet, especially given Sao Paulo's recent large defeats and victories, as well as frequent late goals.

Corners: Numbers and Betting Options

Vitoria averages 2.8 corners per match, Sao Paulo 4.6, totaling 7.4. For over 9.5 corners, Vitoria has 3 out of 5, Sao Paulo 2 out of 5. The line offers a corner total of 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.85, under at 1.90. Vitoria is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.72. A large number of corners is not expected, as both teams average less than 8 per match, and the over 9.5 total is inconsistent. A logical bet on corners would be under 9.5, considering the teams' average figures and playing style.