In the KNVB Cup on December 18, Willem II will face Sparta Rotterdam. The odds for a Sparta Rotterdam victory are 1.94, Willem II's success is at 3.48, and a draw is at 3.70. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Willem II - 26.78%, draw - 25.19%, Sparta Rotterdam - 48.04%. Based on the probabilities and odds, Sparta Rotterdam is the favorite, but the gap isn't insurmountable for Willem II.
In their last three matches, Willem II played as follows: December 12 - Willem II vs Cambuur 0-1, December 6 - Willem II vs Dordrecht 2-0, November 28 - Den Bosch vs Willem II 2-1. Sparta Rotterdam's last three games: December 14 - Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen 0-3, December 7 - Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda 1-0, November 29 - NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam 3-1. On average, over the last five games, Willem II has 46.4% possession, commits 10.2 fouls, receives 0.8 yellow cards, and has 1.4 offsides per game. Sparta Rotterdam's stats are: 53.2% possession, 11.6 fouls, 2.2 yellow cards, and 1.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on July 26, Willem II defeated Sparta Rotterdam 3-1.
In the last five matches, Willem II only exceeded the total over 2.5 once, with four unders. Sparta Rotterdam had two overs on 2.5 and three unders. The average number of goals in Willem II's matches is 2.0, and for Sparta Rotterdam, it's 2.2. Willem II scores an average of 1.2 and concedes 0.8, while Sparta Rotterdam scores 0.6 and concedes 1.6. By halves: both teams exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half only once in five games, and both had two overs on 1.5 in the second half. Willem II most frequently scores between 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (40% each), while Sparta Rotterdam scores most often between 31-45 minutes (50%). In terms of conceding: Willem II frequently concedes at the end of the match (76-90, 40%), and Sparta Rotterdam between 46-60 and 61-75 minutes (40% each). Overall, neither team shows high scoring, and neither consistently exceeds the 2.5 total. Willem II has a more reliable defense, while Sparta Rotterdam's attack is less convincing. A bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.25 seems logical based on recent match dynamics and averages.
Willem II averages 5.6 corners per match, while Sparta Rotterdam averages 5. Over the last five games, Willem II surpassed the 9.5 corners total three times, and Sparta Rotterdam did so four times. According to the odds, the total over 9.5 corners is at 1.60, and under 9.5 is at 2.11. Sparta Rotterdam is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.66. The recent matches' statistics suggest active wing play, supported by the frequency of exceeding the 9.5 corners total. Considering a bet on over 9.5 corners is a reasonable option for this match.
Sportwars.net Prediction for Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam, 2025-12-18 - Under 2.5 goals, odds 2.25. Correct score: 1-1, odds 6.00.


