Prediction for match Çorum — Alanyaspor

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In the Turkish Cup on December 4, 2025, Çorum will face Alanyaspor. According to the 1X2 odds, Alanyaspor is favored with odds of 1.27 and a probability of 73.36%. A draw is priced at 5.55 with a probability of 16.79%, and a Çorum victory is at 9.45 with a probability of 9.86%. This setup highlights a significant advantage for Alanyaspor according to the bookmakers. Additional markets offer opportunities to explore various totals and individual performances, but the main focus is on Alanyaspor's favorability based on probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Çorum lost to Bodrumspor 0-4 (30.11.2025), was defeated by Bandırmaspor 0-1 (22.11.2025), and beat Iğdır 3-1 (09.11.2025). Alanyaspor drew with Samsunspor 1-1 (01.12.2025), lost to Kasımpaşa 1-2 (23.11.2025), and drew with Trabzonspor 1-1 (08.11.2025). Over a five-match series, Çorum has 55.4% possession, commits 11 fouls, receives 3 yellow cards, and records 2.8 offsides. Alanyaspor shows 52.2% possession, 9.8 fouls, 1.8 yellow cards, and 1.8 offsides. In the last five encounters, Çorum exhibits a higher level of fouls and cards, as well as slightly more activity in offsides. Alanyaspor's discipline statistics are more modest, with possession 3% lower.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match span, Çorum averages a total of 2.6 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8. Alanyaspor averages a total of 1.8 goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2. For over 2.5 goals, Çorum has 3 out of 5, and Alanyaspor only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Çorum has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5, while Alanyaspor has none. In the second halves, Çorum has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5, and Alanyaspor 2 out of 5. Çorum most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute (36%), and Alanyaspor in the first 15 minutes (40%). Çorum is most vulnerable to conceding between the 16th and 30th and 31st and 45th minutes (both 50%), while Alanyaspor is most vulnerable between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%). Overall, both teams are not highly prolific scorers: average goals scored are below 1, and Alanyaspor's goals conceded are also low. Çorum's games more often exceed 2.5 goals, but Alanyaspor tends to have low-scoring matches. Against this background, a bet on under 3.5 goals at 1.87 seems logical, considering both teams' low scoring and Alanyaspor's frequent low-scoring games.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Çorum earns 6.8 corners per match, while Alanyaspor earns 5.4. For over 9.5 corners, Çorum has 3 out of 5, and Alanyaspor 1 out of 5. Among the presented lines for corners, the total closest to the average sum (12.2) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners - 1.85, under 9.5 - 1.85. Based on this data, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering Çorum's high averages and frequent overs. Meanwhile, Alanyaspor's corner stats are more modest, which may slightly adjust the overall match dynamics. Overall, Çorum shows a tendency towards activity in corners, which may affect the total number of set-pieces.