Prediction for match Yokohama F. Marinos — Tokyo Verdy

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The J1 League clash between Yokohama F. Marinos and Tokyo Verdy is set for 28.02.2026. The odds for a Yokohama F. Marinos win are 2.42, a draw is priced at 2.99, and a Tokyo Verdy victory is at 3.14. In terms of probability percentages: Yokohama F. Marinos is rated at 38.76%, a draw at 31.37%, and Tokyo Verdy at 29.87%. The odds and probabilities suggest a slight edge for Yokohama F. Marinos, but the gap is minimal. Meanwhile, the odds for total goals offer 1.53 for under 2.5 goals, indicating expectations of a relatively low-scoring match.

Teams' Results and Statistics

Looking at the last three matches of Yokohama F. Marinos, the team lost 0-2 to Urawa Red Diamonds on 21.02.2026, was defeated 0-1 by Kashima Antlers on 14.02.2026, and lost 2-3 to Machida Zelvia on 06.02.2026. In their last three outings, Tokyo Verdy beat Machida Zelvia 6-5 on 21.02.2026, defeated Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 on 15.02.2026, and lost 1-4 to Gamba Osaka on 06.12.2025. In their most recent head-to-head on 09.08.2025, Tokyo Verdy won 1-0 against Yokohama F. Marinos. Over a five-match series: Yokohama F. Marinos had an average possession of 43.6%, recorded 2.2 yellow cards, committed 13.2 fouls, and had 1.4 offsides per game. Tokyo Verdy had possession of 44.8%, 1.2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. These figures indicate a similar playing style and moderate physicality from both teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Yokohama F. Marinos averaged 3 goals per game, while Tokyo Verdy averaged 2.6. During the same period, both teams had three out of five matches with over 2.5 goals and two matches with under. In terms of individual scoring: Yokohama F. Marinos scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 1.8, while Tokyo Verdy scored 1 and conceded 1.6. By halves, Yokohama F. Marinos had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice out of five, and in the second half three times. Tokyo Verdy had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once out of five, and in the second half three times. Yokohama F. Marinos most frequently scores between the 16th-30th minutes (38%), while Tokyo Verdy scores most often between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (43% each). In terms of goals conceded: Yokohama F. Marinos concedes most often between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each), while Tokyo Verdy concedes most frequently between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (50% each). Overall, neither team shows a strong low-scoring profile, but the average goal statistics and the frequency of under 2.5 goals (2 out of 5 for both) make the under 2.5 goals bet at 1.53 a logical choice for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over a five-match series, both Yokohama F. Marinos and Tokyo Verdy have averaged 3.6 corners per game. In terms of frequency for over 9.5 corners: Yokohama F. Marinos had only 1 out of 5 matches go over, while Tokyo Verdy had 2 out of 5. Combining the averages gives 7.2 corners between them, close to the 7.5-8.5 line. The odds for total corners offer a pair at 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.49, under 8.5 at 2.34. The corner outcome favorite is Yokohama F. Marinos with odds of 1.67. Considering the average values and frequency of outcomes, a bet on under 8.5 corners seems justified, though an outcome with 8-9 corners is also possible. Overall, neither team stands out in terms of frequent high-corner matches, as confirmed by recent match statistics.