Prediction for match Hoffenheim — Werder Bremen

Match Analysis: Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen

Hoffenheim will take on Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on May 9th. The odds show a clear advantage for Hoffenheim: a win for them is priced at 1.50, a draw at 5.33, and a victory for Werder Bremen at 6.14. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 65.54% for a Hoffenheim win, 18.45% for a draw, and 16.01% for Werder Bremen. This spread is explained not only by the league standings but also by recent match statistics, where Hoffenheim has shown more consistent results and high scoring ability. Meanwhile, Werder Bremen faces a tough away game against a team that attacks confidently and regularly earns points.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Hoffenheim's last three matches, they drew 3-3 with Stuttgart (02.05.2026), defeated Hamburg 2-1 (25.04.2026), and beat Borussia Dortmund 2-1 (18.04.2026). In Werder Bremen's last three matches, they lost 1-3 to Augsburg (02.05.2026), drew 1-1 with Stuttgart (26.04.2026), and won 3-1 against Hamburg (18.04.2026). In their head-to-head clash on January 27, 2026, Werder Bremen lost 0-2 to Hoffenheim. Over the last five matches, Hoffenheim has averaged 55.4% possession, received 3.2 yellow cards, committed 15.6 fouls, and recorded 2 offsides. Werder Bremen averages 50.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. These figures highlight the difference in playing styles and intensity between the two teams.

Goal Scoring Trends

Over the last five games, Hoffenheim has an average total of 3.8 goals per match, scoring 2 and conceding 1.8. Werder Bremen averages 3.4 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2. For matches with over 2.5 goals: Hoffenheim has 5 out of 5, Werder Bremen has 4 out of 5. In the first half, Hoffenheim has 4 out of 5 over 1.5, while Werder Bremen has 2 out of 5. In the second half, Hoffenheim has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Werder Bremen has 4 out of 5. Hoffenheim most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (30%), and concedes in the 31-45 and 76-90 intervals (30% each). Werder Bremen scores most often in the second half - 61-75 and 76-90 intervals (33% each), and concedes evenly across three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 (25% each). Overall, both teams tend to play high-scoring matches, especially considering the over 2.5 goals trend and high average goals. This supports a bet on over 3.0 total goals at odds of 1.50, given the consistent overs and attacking styles of both teams.

Corners in the Match

For the average number of corners over 5 matches: Hoffenheim takes 5.6, Werder Bremen takes 3.8. In the last five matches, Hoffenheim has 2 out of 5 over 9.5 total corners, Werder Bremen has 3 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the combined average of both teams (9.4) is 9.5: over 9.5 total corners is priced at 1.61, under 9.5 at 2.18. In terms of corners, Hoffenheim is the favorite with odds of 1.44. Given Hoffenheim's active corner-taking and average results in this area, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 total corners or Hoffenheim's advantage in this component.