On May 9th in the Bundesliga, RB Leipzig will face St. Pauli. The odds for the match outcomes are: RB Leipzig to win at 1.34, a draw at 5.94, and St. Pauli to win at 9.85. The probabilities are as follows: RB Leipzig - 73.44%, draw - 16.57%, St. Pauli - 9.99%. RB Leipzig is the clear favorite according to both the odds and the probabilities of the main outcomes.
RB Leipzig's recent form in the last three matches: on May 2nd they lost to Bayer 1-4, on April 24th they defeated Union Berlin 3-1, and on April 18th they won against Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1. St. Pauli's last three results: on May 3rd they lost to Mainz 05 1-2, on April 25th they were defeated by Heidenheim 0-2, and on April 17th they drew with Köln 1-1. In their head-to-head match on January 27th, St. Pauli and RB Leipzig drew 1-1. Over the last five matches, RB Leipzig averages 51.8% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 9.4 fouls, and has 0.8 offsides per game. St. Pauli averages 44.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 7.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides.
In their last five matches, RB Leipzig averages a total of 3.4 goals per game, scoring 2 and conceding 1.4. St. Pauli averages 2.8 goals per game, scoring only 0.6 and conceding 2.2. For over 2.5 goals: RB Leipzig has gone over in 4 out of 5 matches, St. Pauli in 2 out of 5. In the first half, RB Leipzig has over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, St. Pauli in 1 out of 5. In the second half, RB Leipzig has over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5, St. Pauli in 2 out of 5. Goal intervals: RB Leipzig scores most frequently between 76-90 minutes (40%), St. Pauli also scores most in this period (40%). Conceded goals: RB Leipzig concedes most often between 76-90 minutes (43%), St. Pauli has 22% in three different intervals (0-15, 46-60, 76-90). Given RB Leipzig's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 totals, and St. Pauli's weak defense, a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.54 seems logical.
RB Leipzig averages 6 corners per match, St. Pauli 5.2. In the last five matches, RB Leipzig has had over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 games, St. Pauli in 3 out of 5. The total corners market closest to their average is 11, with odds for over 11 corners at 2.58 and under 11 at 1.44. In the corners market, RB Leipzig is favored with odds of 1.25. Considering both teams' consistent corner stats, a bet on over 11 total corners could be an interesting additional option.
Sportwars.net Prediction for RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli, 09.05.2026 - Over 2.75 goals, odds 1.54. Exact score: 3:0, odds 9.00.






